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When Will 'Oversold' ETFs Revert to the Mean?

Although I touched on P/Es, it may be worth looking at a tendency for prices to revert toward a 200-day trendline. Here then are 10 popular ETFs that are more than 10% below a 200-day moving average (potentially oversold):

Q4 Candidates for Reverting Toward a Trendline (200-Day 'Mean')
% Below 200-Day EMA
iShares Latin America 40 (ILF) -16.8%
iShares All Country Asia Excl Japan (AAXJ) -16.7%
Vanguard MSCI Emerging Markets (VWO) -16.0%
S&P SPDR Select Materials (XLB) -15.9%
Vanguard Financials (VFH) -15.3%
iShares MSCI Australia (EWA) -14.6%
iShares Russell Microcap (IWC) -14.3%
iShares MSCI Canada (EWC) -14.0%
Vanguard FTSE All-World (VEU) -12.8%
Market Vectors Agribusiness (MOO) -12.6%

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Disclosure Statement: ETF Expert is a Web site that makes the world of ETFs easier to understand. Gary Gordon, Pacific Park Financial and/or its clients may hold positions in ETFs, mutual funds and investment assets mentioned. The commentary does not constitute individualized investment advice. The opinions offered are not personalized recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities. At times, issuers of exchange-traded products compensate Pacific Park Financial or its subsidiaries for advertising at the ETF Expert website. ETF Expert content is created independently of any advertising relationships. You may review additional ETF Expert at the site.
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AAXJ $69.50 0.00%
EWA $23.93 0.00%
ILF $32.96 0.00%
IWC $81.09 0.00%
VWO $44.67 0.00%


DOW 18,080.14 +21.45 0.12%
S&P 500 2,117.69 +4.76 0.23%
NASDAQ 5,092.0850 +36.0220 0.71%

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