NEW YORK (TheStreet Ratings) -- On Wednesday the U.S. Department of Energy reported weekly petroleum inventories in the U.S. for the week ending Friday August 26th.
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories, not including those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, increased by 5.3 million barrels from the previous week. At 357.1 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories continue to trend above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year.
Higher than expected inventories put downward pressure on domestic oil prices while lower inventory levels are bullish for prices of petroleum products such as gasoline or heating oil. A sluggish economy shrinking overall demand may be insufficient to cope with the increased available supply potentially leading to lower crude oil prices.
However, the other economic statistics released this morning by the U.S. Department of Commerce are more bullish. July new orders for manufactured goods having increased 2.4% to $453.2 billion with shipments up 1.6% to $453.2 billion, and unfilled orders rising 0.8% to $870.4 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders would only have increased by 0.9%. New orders for transportation equipment, up in two of the last three months, jumped by 14.8% -- or $6.8 billion -- in July to $53.2 billion.That's bullish for oil prices. To bet directly on rising oil prices, TheStreet Ratings model likes the A+ rated United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO). This fund attempts to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of Brent crude oil using futures contracts traded on the ICE Futures Exchange. Also, take a look at the A+ rated Jefferies TR/J CRB Wildcatters Exploration & Production Equity ETF (WCAT). This fund has top holdings of Rosetta Resources (ROSE), Bill Barrett Co (BBG), and Energy XXI Bermuda (EXXI). In the final bullish selection, sustained oil prices bolster the case for the large companies supplying the energy industry. The B+ rated SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services (XES) rises and falls with the fortunes of Oceaneering Intl (OII), Tidewater (TDW), Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO), Rowan Cos (RDC), Schlumberger (SLB), Halliburton (HAL), and Transocean (RIG). For bearish speculators that expect oil prices decline over the next few days, the best rated bearish exchange-traded products positioned to gain from the drop include PowerShares DB Crude Oil Short ETN (SZO), PowerShares DB Crude Oil Dbl Sh ETN (DTO), and United States Short Oil Fund (DNO). All three of these funds are ranked at 'Hold' with middle of pack for results for risk-adjusted return. -- Reported by Kevin Baker in Jupiter, Fla.
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