NEW YORK (AP) â¿¿ Shares of several transportation companies rose on Friday, and one analyst laid out the case for why worries about transportation may be overdone.
Stifel Nicolaus analyst David G. Ross wrote that industry growth at the moment is minimal, with retailers cautious and keeping inventories low, and West Coast imports slowing.
Any easing of economic fears "should lead to a nice pickup in demand, in our opinion, as there is no housing bubble left to pop, no auto bubble left to pop, fuel prices have been declining (which is a decent tailwind for consumer spending), unemployment is relatively stable, borrowing rates are expected to remain low and the population is growing," he wrote. "That's why our fear of a recession is less than others. We could be wrong, but we still see more upside than downside over the next couple of years."
Also, the economic uncertainty is causing trucking companies to limit capacity. That will help them keep prices higher for longer, he wrote.Even in the spring, as an economic recovery appeared under way, transportation companies including truckers and airlines were dealing with high fuel prices. Those prices appear to be falling now â¿¿ but they were driven lower by economic fears, which aren't helping transportation companies, either. Ross said good management, stable balance sheets, and strong positions in the industry should help FedEx Corp., Old Dominion Freight Line Inc., Heartland Express Inc., and Ryder System Inc. Swift Transportation Co. should benefit if the economy grows, he wrote. FedEx shares rose 72 cents to $80.60 in afternoon trading. Old Dominion rose $1.49, or 5 percent, to $32.49, Heartland Express rose 36 cents, or 2.6 percent, to $14.17, Ryder rose 83 cents to $46.43. Swift jumped 48 cents, or 6 percent, to $8.41. Other transportation shares rising included United Parcel Service Inc., up 65 cents to $65.37, and Union Pacific Corp., up 86 cents to $92.84.
Select the service that is right for you!COMPARE ALL SERVICES
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.
- Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
- Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
- A custom stock screener
- Upgrade/downgrade alerts
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
- Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV