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Gold, Silver Could Break Higher This Week

The following commentary comes from an independent investor or market observer as part of TheStreet's guest contributor program, which is separate from the company's news coverage.

NEW YORK ( TheLFB-Forex) -- News wires are very quiet in regard to gold (recently at 1535) and silver (recently at 38.00).

The recent moves to change margin requirements and affect speculative interest in bullion markets seem to have had little overall effect, as market participants continue to buy dips in gold and silver.

Any moves through resistance have struggled to hold for more than one trading session. The potential for new trade signals to form today is weak, but traders should be ready for a break higher in bullion valuations if equity markets hold support this week.

Trade desk updates recently highlighted the potential for choppy and overlapping price action in bullion markets, and in SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and iShares Silver Trust (SLV), the exchange-traded funds that track bullion. Those moves appear to have formed a base that is currently holding well as support.

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Traders should monitor any existing short-gold or short-silver positions while recent price action is absorbed. There have been very few clear-cut signals in the silver bullion market recently, although a break above 38.20 will draw in buying activity. Clients received a gold bullion signal recently to go long on a break of 1531, and gold subsequently moved higher to test 1535.

Alternate Trade:

Investors who do not want to wait for their regional cash market to open, or do not have 24-hour access to the market in which they have open positions, are able to access the 24-hour currency market.

Investors can trade currencies in line with a rising global market, or trade ahead of a falling cash market open. Currencies allow trading before a regional market opens.

Traders could trade the Australian dollar/dollar currency pair (AUD/USD) in line with the potential seen in global equity and commodity movement.

If global markets favor the buying of silver bullion above 38.20, we will issue a potential trade signal on the AUD/USD. Buying the AUD and selling the USD via this currency pair from 1.0720 draws in 1.0745 and 1.0790.

Bullion Price Action:

In April and May there was strong buying activity at 1490 on gold, and at 33.00 on silver. We will monitor these swing point areas closely, because they seem to be allowing a strong base to form.

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