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Story updated to include comments from Neel Kashkari, a PIMCO managing director and former U.S. Treasury official overseeing the government's Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP).
NEW YORK (
Fannie Mae(FNMA.OB) and
Freddie Mac(FMCC.OB) preferred securities continue to catch on with hedge fund investors betting on improving fortunes at the government sponsored enterprises (GSEs).
As TheStreet reported in January, hedge funds including
Akanthos Capital Management,
Gator Capital Management and
Bronte Capital have bought preferred equity shares of Fannie and Freddie for pennies on the dollar, betting they will eventually recover some, if not all, of their original value. Akanthos founder and portfolio manager Michael Kao reiterated his bull case on the investments at the Value Investing Congress in Pasadena last week.
Since that Jan.7 report (and the accompanying video embedded above) Freddie Mac "Z" shares, one of the more widely-traded preferred issues, have roughly quadrupled in value, though at $2.76 as of late Friday, they are worth just over a tenth of their November, 2007 $25.55 issue price.
The latest hedge fund manager to publicly disclose a position in the preferred shares is Kyle Bass, who told attendees at the SkyBridge Alternatives Conference that the securities "could be an eight to ten bagger from here," according to
Dow Jones' MarketWatch.
There have been industry rumors that hedge fund giant
Paulson & Co. has also been buying Fannie and Freddie preferred shares. A spokesman for Paulson & Co. declined to comment.
Certainly Paulson has the expertise in house to do his homework on Fannie and Freddie. Paulson & Co. partner Robert Lacoursiere used to cover the GSEs as an equity research analyst at Bank of America. To his credit, he had a "sell" rating on Fannie as early as 2005, though he raised his target price to $48 in early 2006.
Fannie shares have been below the $1 mark for most of the nearly three years since the government put the GSEs in conservatorship. They closed at 39 cents per share on Friday and even the hedge fund managers buying the preferred shares generally conclude the common shares are worthless.
Preferred stock, despite its misleading name, is actually more similar to debt. It usually pays a high coupon--higher than bonds--but holders of these securities also assume greater risks than other debt holders.
Fannie and Freddie stopped making coupon payments after the U.S. Treasury Department put them into conservatorship in Sept. 2008, essentially wiping out their value, and inflicting big losses on many small banks that owned the securities.
PIMCO managing director Neel Kashkari, who oversaw the Treasury's bailout program at the Treasury Dept. during the Bush administration and at the start of the Obama presidency, told
TheStreet the decision to protect more senior debt holders while creasing coupon payments on the preferred securities was based solely on a desire by former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson to interfere in markets as little as possible while trying to stave off a systemic meltdown.
"Anybody who is crying about the fact that they didn't get a bailout needs to wake up and realize there was a clear reason behind the actions taken by the government, which was to stabilize the market in a time of crisis. Nobody was supposed to get a bailout. No one had a right to a bailout," Kashkari said.