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NEW YORK (
Bank of America (BAC - Get Report) will report its first-quarter earnings before the market opens Friday, and any further negativity bodes well for long-term investors.
The political and regulatory pile-on against large banks continued yesterday, with
cease and desist orders against the main banking subsidiaries of Bank of America,
JPMorgan Chase (JPM - Get Report),
Citigroup (C - Get Report),
Wells Fargo (WFC - Get Report),
PNC Financial (PNC),
U.S. Bancorp (USB) and others, as the
Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the
Federal Reserve added their two cents on robosigning of mortgage foreclosure documents and other loan servicing problems, that were widely covered by the media last year and have already been addressed by the large banks.
The risk from mortgage buybacks has already been addressed repeatedly by the large mortgage players, and additional risks disclosed on Friday by Bank of America are expected to be relatively light, compared to $4.1 billion provision mortgage repurchase claims in the fourth quarter, which included $3.0 billion for claims by
Freddie Mac .
Still, further extraordinary losses on the mortgage front, including the coming regulatory fines related to the cease and desist orders announced Wednesday, will make for some nice headlines and possibly additional pummeling of the stock, which was down 29% for the 52-week period ended Wednesday, when Bank of America's shares closed at $13.27.
Investors will also be keying in on any discussion of dividends by CEO Brian Moynihan, after the company's initial plan to boost its dividend in the second half of this year was rejected by the Federal Reserve in March. Bank of America plans to submit a revised plan to regulators.
With signs of economic improvement, and Bank of America's leading mortgage position -- not to mention the Merrill Lynch division's tremendous opportunities when securities underwriting eventually picks up -- investors are looking at a historic opportunity to load up in advance of a long-term run-up in the shares.
Granted, we could have said this a year ago and the stock hasn't been a good one for day traders, but for patient long-term investors who believe in the economic recovery, the stock looks like a winner.
Matthew Burnell of Wells Fargo has an "outperform" or buy rating on Bank of America, although he tempered his enthusiasm late in March with a "more cautious outlook," and valuation range of $17 to $19 a share, as the shares were removed from Wells Fargo's "Priority Stock List" as a result of reduced confidence in the U.S. economy and "a slower future trajectory of dividend improvement."