NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- In 2011, agricultural commodities prices will depend on crop prospects, according to a Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) report. A sharp deterioration in crop outlook will affect price movements adversely. The FAO's index of 55 food commodities rose for the fifth straight month in November, touching two-year highs. Unless the global output of agricultural commodities improves in 2011, food prices will continue to spiral up, according to FAO.
Prices of agricultural commodities will rally next year, driven by rising demand from emerging markets, as per Rabobank Group. In addition, surging crude oil prices, depleting global food stockpiles and a weakening dollar may push prices higher.
If energy and food prices surge, it would raise the attractiveness of biofuels, made from farm commodities, pushing fertilizer prices higher. Down the value chain of commodities, any upward movement in energy prices affects sugar and corn prices.
A recent Chinese commerce ministry statement said as pressure mounts due to escalating prices and tight supplies, acquiring new supplies will play a key role in softening inflation and curbing speculation. For this, China has decided to tap international markets for sugar, cotton and meat, especially from India and the U.S., among others.While China's CPI closely correlates to food prices, the country recorded a 5.1% CPI growth in November, with food and household expenses contributing 92%. Among agricultural commodities, as grain prices increase, food production costs and beverage processing costs rise. We have identified three China agriculture stocks that will likely provide attractive returns to investors. These stocks are stacked base on upside potential.
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