(GMCR story updated with analyst commentary and share price changes)
Shares of the maker of K-Cups and Keurig coffee brewers are down 11.3% to $33.19 in late morning trading.In Thursday afterhours trading, GMCR dropped 13.7% to $32.30 after the company said it was widening the lower end of its fiscal 2011 non-GAAP earnings outlook to a range of $1.19 to $1.29 a share vs. the prior outlook of $1.24 to $1.29, to factor in volatility in coffee prices and the support needed for the launch of new products. "The hit was pretty much immediate on release, leaving prices consolidating at or near the initial reaction lows," BGC Financial director Roger Volz said. He'll observing the stock will particular interest if it makes another descent and falls into the $29.90 to $30.50 territory. "Another break below [this area] sees risk [of the shares falling] back to the $27.25 area, where major support resides." GMCR expects first-quarter 2011 non-GAAP earnings in the range of 14 cents to 18 cents a share. Analysts, on average, were expecting earnings of 20 cents a share and $1.18 a share for the first quarter and full year, respectively. "GMCR is a company that's been conservative with guidance in the past and it looks like they were again this quarter," TheStreet's Market Movers portfolio manager Ken Shreve said. "When you're a high-multiple stock like GMCR, conservative guidance (below expectations), isn't going to cut it. GMCR's mention of higher costs relating to new product launches was also a dampener, Shreve said. For the fourth quarter, GMCR posted a net income increase of 92% to $27 million, or 20 cents a share, from $14.1 million, or 11 cents a share the same time last year.
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