This Day On The Street
Continue to site right-arrow
This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration.
Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here
TheStreet Open House

Gold Stock M&A: How to Play It

Stocks in this article: ABX KGC

NEW YORK ( TheStreet ) -- High gold prices have triggered a wave of mergers and acquisitions in the gold mining sector, and there are four ways one could profit from this consolidation wave:

  • Short the buyers and potential buyers;
  • Buy the buyout targets;
  • Buy the large miners that already have made big purchases;
  • Buy the mid-tier miners who focus more on organic growth rather than buyouts

First off, M&A for gold miners is here to stay as long as gold prices stay high. The stronger the gold demand, the more gold a company must produce, the more gold it has to find to replenish supply.

According to the World Gold Council gold demand trend report, mine supply grew 3% in the third quarter compared to a year ago while gold demand rose 12%. Although the difference between supply and demand was largely made up for by an increasing recycled gold supply, as prices sustain high four-digit levels the pressure is on to find new deposits.

Gold Stocks to Buy as M&A Heats Up

Using rough math, if a producer wants to increase its annual production by 1.5 million ounces a year, the miner must find twice as many ounces of resource. CEO of Novagold (NG) Rick Van Nieuwenhuyse says "typically resources to reserves is about 60% and you get about 90% recovery."

Finding a new mine and bringing it into production can take upwards of 10 years during which time the company must contend with geopolitical and environmental risks, which could slow the project down. Some companies get lucky like Endeavour Silver (EXK) which took its Lucera mine from discovery to production in four months, a pretty rare scenario.

Another option is partnering. A senior miner can partner with a junior on a new project to help shoulder some of the financial burden while reaping the benefits of someone else's work. Paolo Lostritto, mining analyst at Wellington West Capital Markets, thinks that this strategy, however, is just a fallback.

Juniors might enter into a partnership expecting the richer company to jump-start the project into production, but since the senior typically has a longer production time line (maybe it won't need more gold deposits for 10 years) sometimes an asset just sits there. "A buyout is more beneficial for a junior ," argues Lostritto.

1 of 5

Check Out Our Best Services for Investors

Action Alerts PLUS

Jim Cramer and Stephanie Link reveal their investment tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.

Product Features:
  • $2.5+ million portfolio
  • Large-cap and dividend focus
  • Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
Quant Ratings

Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.

Product Features:
  • Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
  • Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
  • A custom stock screener
Stocks Under $10

Jim Cramer's protégé, David Peltier, uncovers low dollar stocks with extraordinary upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.

Product Features:
  • Model portfolio
  • Stocks trading below $10
  • Intraday trade alerts
Try it NOW
Try it NOW
Try it NOW

Check Out Our Best Services for Investors

Dividend Stock Advisor

Jim Cramer's protégé, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.

Product Features:
  • Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
  • Updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Trifecta Stocks

Every recommendation goes through 3 layers of intense scrutiny—quantitative, fundamental and technical analysis—to maximize profit potential and minimize risk.

Product Features:
  • Model Portfolio
  • Intra Day Trade alerts
  • Access to Quant Ratings
Options Profits

Our options trading pros provide over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.

Product Features:
  • Actionable options commentary and news
  • Real-time trading community
Try it NOW
Try it NOW
Try it NOW
To begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
Submit an article to us!


DOW 17,191.37 -195.84 -1.13%
S&P 500 2,002.16 -27.39 -1.35%
NASDAQ 4,637.9940 -43.5030 -0.93%

Partners Compare Online Brokers

Free Reports

Free Newsletters from TheStreet

My Subscriptions:

After the Bell

Before the Bell

Booyah! Newsletter

Midday Bell

TheStreet Top 10 Stories

Winners & Losers

Register for Newsletters
Top Rated Stocks Top Rated Funds Top Rated ETFs