Financial Services

JPMorgan Chase: Earnings Preview

Stock quotes in this article:JPM 

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- JPMorgan Chase (JPM) kicks off bank earnings reports before the market opens on Wednesday and the big New York bank will likely set the tone for the rest of the industry's quarter.

JPMorgan's call will be the first earnings call for new CFO Doug Braunstein, who took over the position from Mike Cavanagh as part of a broader management shuffle at the company. (Cavanagh is now the head of JPMorgan's Treasury & Securities Services.)

Jamie Dimon
JPMorgan Chase Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon

While Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon had typically let Cavanagh run the earnings conference calls, it's possible participants may hear a bit more from Dimon on the call as so that Braunstein can get his bearings, but also because there is likely to be a number of questions related to financial regulation, the latest foreclosure crisis and lending trends.

Follow JPMorgan's earnings conference call on Wednesday morning via TheStreet's live blog.

Analysts on average are expecting the bellwether bank to report quarterly EPS of 88 cents a share -- up 7% from reported earnings in the year-earlier quarter -- on $24.5 billion of revenue, according to Thomson Reuters.

Investors will likely look first to the investment banking units at the large universal banks as trading revenue is expected to have taken a hit during the September-ending quarter.

However, bank stock analysts say that JPMorgan is likely to see only modest trading revenue declines as compared to other banks.

Jeff Harte, an analyst at Sandler O'Neill & Partners, expects JPMorgan's revenue to decline 7% sequentially to $23.8 billion, primarily driven by lower trading revenue in the investment bank.

However, Harte is also including $350 million of deferred tax asset (DTA) losses into his estimates. Including deferred tax assets, he expects trading revenue to fall by 26% sequentially (after having declined 34% in the prior quarter). Without the DTA writedowns, he expects JPMorgan's to decline by a modest 6% sequentially, he writes.

Jason Goldberg, an analyst at Barclays Capital, is predicting stable trading results at JPMorgan compared to the prior quarter leading the bank to likely outperform its peers for the quarter.

Analysts are also pointing to improved credit quality metrics, particularly in the bank's credit card division.

According to a note on Friday, Goldberg also estimates that JPMorgan's credit card losses to fall 100 basis points, which will result in a continued reserve release, he writes.

TheStreet Premium Services

Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS:
Trade right alongside a Wall Street pro — enjoy access to his Charitable Trust portfolio and be sent trade alerts BEFORE he makes a move. Learn More
OptionsProfits
OptionsProfits:
Get 50+ trade ideas a week from the industry's top options experts. Plus — exclusive commentary on market trends and essential trading tools. Learn More
Real Money
Real Money:
Our team of professional Wall Street Pros — including Jim Cramer, Doug Kass, and Nicholas Vardy — delivers intelligent analysis, timely trade ideas, and colorful commentary. Learn More
Stocks Under $10
Stocks Under $10:
Break into the market with small- and mid-cap stocks... all $10 or less! David Peltier tells you exactly which low-priced stocks he's buying and selling. Learn More
To begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
blog comments powered by Disqus
Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
12,454.83 1,317.82 2,837.53 17.45
Oil *
107.26
DOWN
74.92
DOWN
2.86
DOWN
1.85
DOWN
0.14
10 Yr
1.74%
SPDR Gold
152.68
-0.60%
-0.22%
-0.07%
-0.80%
Data delayed 20 minutes

Top Stories and Tools

Articles From

After the Bell

Before the Bell

Booyah! Newsletter

Midday Bell

TheStreet Top 10 Stories

Winners & Losers

We respect your privacy.
Podcasts

Connect with TheStreet