NEW YORK (
) -- Don Dion posts his current insights on the stock, bond, commodity and currency markets in his
blog, anticipating which ETFs will be in play next.
Here are three of his blog posts from the past week:
A September to Remember
Published 9/30/2010 2:54 p.m. EDT
Stocks could still slog their way back into positive territory today, but as we close out the month, the most important thing to remember is the big picture. Even if today's action feels like an unwelcomed rollercoaster ride, consider the fact that stocks are set to finish the month with strength: the
had its best September performance since 1939.
Here are some other positive moves to keep in mind: GDP improved to 1.7%, personal income increased, jobless claims dropped slightly (not as much as we may have hoped), the Chicago PMI exceeded expectations by improving to 60.4 and stocks set a four-month high this morning.
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But the recent strength hasn't been enough to get many investors out of the "fear trade." I expect that we'll see this trend reflected in the September National Stock Exchange ETF data. We will likely see that there was improvement in some equity funds but that there is still plenty of demand for fixed-income funds such as
iShares Barclays TIPs
and hard-asset vehicles such as
SPDR Gold Shares
How long will it take before everyday investors feel confident enough to dip their toes back into U.S. equities? (I keep hearing a lot about emerging-market debt and the corresponding
PowerShares Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt Portfolio ETF
iShares JP Morgan USD Emerging Market Bond ETF
.) I expect that we'll have to get through the November elections and get some answers about the impending tax cuts -- a huge psychological hurdle for many investors right now -- to find out the answer to that question.
But you don't have to wait for the masses to play a part in this recovery. Rather than waiting for everyone to join the rally, slowly dial up your U.S.-equity exposure through ETFs. Remember, remember, the month of September, especially if things get choppy at the beginning of next month.
At the time of publication, Dion Money Management held no positions in the stocks mentioned.