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Gold Down; Traders Move to Stocks

NEW YORK ( TheStreet ) -- Gold prices lost steam Friday after a better-than-expected U.S. jobs number tamped down double-dip recession fears and led investors to dump gold for stocks.

Gold for December delivery settled down $2.30 to $1,251.10 an ounce at the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The gold price Friday has traded as high as $1,255.60 and as low as $1,239.20. The U.S. dollar index was slipping 0.43% to $82.10 while the euro rose 0.33% to $1.28 vs. the dollar. The spot gold price was down $3.60, according to Kitco's gold index.

Gold prices took their cue from the U.S. jobs number which surprised and cheered investors. The unemployment rate rose to 9.6% but only 54,000 jobs were lost, which was much better than expected. The private sector added 67,000 jobs.

Investors had been mixed on gold headed into the jobs number. Prices rose modestly Thursday as investors bought gold as protection, but the gold exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), shed almost 10 tons as traders took profits. Gold prices recovered from session lows late Friday as volume stayed light.

In reaction to the jobs number Friday, President Obama also hinted at another stimulus package, which will be unveiled in more detail next week. Questions remain about how the government would pay for additional stimulus. If the government resorts to money printing, gold prices would find support as the U.S. dollar loses value.

In the short-term, most gold bugs will be looking to the fall, historically a strong buying period for gold. India's slew of festivals is expected to ignite massive gold jewelry buying. The gold price on average rises 2.5% in September which would bring prices to $1,285 an ounce.

Some analysts, however, are dubious as higher prices might hurt demand in India's price sensitive market. Pratik Sharma, managing director at Atyant Capital, says that trends "work until they don't."

"The one time that they don't can be very painful ... if everybody knows one thing and everybody's on one side of the trade the risk of ... the [risk of the] market moving in another direction is very high," Sharma said.

Sharma can make both the long-term bull case and short-term bear case for gold. Fundamentally, global low interest rates and hints of more quantitative easing and stimulus in the U.S. could continue to weigh on currencies and make gold an attractive alternative form of money.

The Wall Street Journal Friday reported that the local Muslim government in Kelantan, a Malaysian state, unveiled a gold coin as a substitute currency in August. People are now allowed to pay taxes and bills with silver and gold coins.

Some experts speculate this is more of a revolt against the U.S. dollar than a fundamental shift in how governments deal with paper currencies. But many analysts have warned that when people start buying everyday items in gold, then that is a sign of a bubble.
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