10 Companies Least Likely to Go Bankrupt
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The financial crisis stoked investor fears that bankruptcy was imminent for a number of companies, no matter how big or small. Luckily for investors, there is a way to examine certain financial metrics to see which companies are least likely to declare bankruptcy.
The Altman Z-score, a formula developed by New York University professor Edward Altman in 1968, measures several aspects of a company's financial health to forecast the probability of that company entering bankruptcy within two years. The formula was found to be approximately 80% to 90% accurate in predicting bankruptcy on samples of distressed firms one year prior to the event by examining working capital, retained earnings and other financial inputs, according to Altman's study.
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Companies with an Altman Z-score of at least 3 are considered in the "safe" zone, while companies with a score of 1.2 or below are considered "distressed."
TheStreet ranks companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, or American Stock Exchange that have a minimum $10 million market cap with the highest Altman z-score and examines what the future holds for these investors.
10. Nordic American Tanker Shipping (NAT) is an oil tanker transportation company whose shares climbed a 52-week higher in January before falling days later after the company announced a secondary offering. Shares fell to a 52-week low shortly after Nordic American Tanker announced a first-quarter dividend to 60 cents per share, up from 25 cents in the fourth quarter of 2009. Altman Z-score: 61.04 Closing Price: $29.61 (June 21) One-Year Total Return: -0.4% Consensus: Fifteen analysts cover Nordic American Tanker shares; six recommend buying the stock and six suggest holding shares. Another three firms, including EVA Dimensions, say that investors should sell shares. On Monday, Jefferies issued a buy rating on the stock with a $39 price target, while Cantor Fitzgerald offered a hold rating and $28 price target on the company's stock. Valuation: Nordic American Tanker shares are expensive on a price-to-earnings and price-to-sales ratio of 23.17 and 11.21, respectively. That compares to its peers' average P/E ratio of 16.23 and average P/S ratio of 2.27.
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