Technical Analysis

Gold Futures Seen Recapturing 2009 High

 

By Mohammed Isah of fxtechstrategy.com

Gold futures are likely to recapture their 2009 high and go even higher.

With a strong rally pushing gold through the 1,192.20 and 1,200 levels to test a high of 1,213.55 this week, the risk of a recapture of the 1,226.33 level, the 2009 high, is now building.

As long as gold holds and trades above its psychological level/May 4 high at 1,200/1,192.20, our upside view remains valid.

Beyond the 1,226.33 level, gold will resume its long-term uptrend and have a chance to move toward the 1,250 and the 1,300 levels.

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The latter level is expected to turn the commodity back down on an initial test. However, a breach of it would leave gold aiming at the 1,350 and the 1,400 levels.

Gold's weekly relative strength index (RSI) remains supportive of this view.

On any pullback from its current price levels, Gold futures should find support initially at the 1,200 level. A turn below there would allow for further weakness toward the 1,192.20 level, where a reversal of roles is likely to occur. Further support lies at the 1,156.90 level, the May 5 low.

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Mohammed Isah is a technical strategist and head of research at FXTechstrategy.com, a technical-research Web site. He has been trading and analyzing the foreign exchange market for the past seven years. He formerly traded stocks before crossing over to the forex market, where he worked for FXInstructor LLC as a technical analyst and head of research before joining FXTechstrategy.com. He has written extensively on the forex market and technical analysis and his articles have been featured in The Technical Analyst Magazine, The Forex Journal Magazine, The International Business Times and FXstreet.com. At FXTechstrategy.com, he writes daily, weekly and long-term technical commentaries on currencies and commodities, which are offered to its clients. He also produces The Professional Suite for his subscribers. He provides full coverage of the forex market with specific focus on G10 currencies as well as the commodities markets, with focus on five key commodities.

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