Technical Analysis

Mid-Cap Utilities Ready to Power Up

Stock quotes in this article:EQT, WEC, CPN 

This is a bullish transitional pattern that should eventually yield a major breakout and rally to new all-time highs. That would be quite an achievement in a sector that has been underperforming the broad market since the March 2009 low. For now, interested buyers can build early positions or wait until price trades up and over $50.89.

Calpine (CPN) -- Weekly
eSignal

Calpine(CPN) tells an interesting tale on its weekly chart. The Texas-based natural gas and geothermal energy company got slammed in the bear market, dropping from $23 to $5 in nine months, and then bouncing up to the 50% selloff retracement in June of last year. The stock then went dead as a doornail, dropping into a triangle pattern that's still in place.

Price has been ticking higher in the last two weeks, after multiple upgrades, and looks ready to finally break out and resume its uptrend. The logical target for the next rally lies at $23, because that level would mount the "other half" of the selloff retracement. An early-entry strategy should work well with this narrow pattern, because a stop loss can be placed under the five-week low near $10.50.

Natural Fuel Gas (NFG) -- Daily
eSignal

National Fuel Gas(NFG) is a natural gas energy provider operating in New York and Pennsylvania. It has held up remarkably well, considering the recent plunge in natural gas futures. The stock doubled in price after bottoming out $26 in March 2009 and rolled over in December, dropping into the mid-$40s.

It bounced off that level last month and has now rallied back to the three-month high. Accumulation is lagging price action, suggesting further consolidation, prior to a notable breakout. That might take another two to three weeks. Once the move is under way, the renewed uptrend could carry all the way to the 2008 high at $63.

Alan Farley provides daily stock picks and commentary with his "Daily Swing Trade" newsletter.

>To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

At the time of publication, Farley had no positions in stocks mentioned, although holdings can change at any time.

Alan Farley is a private trader and publisher of Hard Right Edge, a comprehensive resource for trader education, technical analysis, and short-term trading techniques. He is also the author of The Daily Swing Trade, a premium product from TheStreet.com that outlines his charts and analysis. Farley has also been featured in Barron's, SmartMoney, Tech Week, Active Trader, MoneyCentral, Technical Investor, Bridge Trader and Online Investor. He has written two books: The Master Swing Trader and The Master Swing Trader Toolkit: The Market Survival Guide, due out in April. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks.

Farley appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email. Also, click here to sign up for Farley's premium subscription product, The Daily Swing Trade, brought to you exclusively by TheStreet.com.

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