Review & Outlook

Bank Failures May Accelerate in 2010

Stock quotes in this article:USB, ZION, JPM 

A part of the bank-reform legislation being negotiated in Congress that could have a chilling effect on bank liquidity is the requirement for secured lenders, such as the Federal Home Loan Banks, to take "haircuts" of 20% when a borrowing bank fails rather than being paid in full by the FDIC. That could seriously disrupt liquidity for banks relying on wholesale funding.

Prepaying the FDIC

Headlines that said the FDIC was running out of money were misleading. While the balance of the agency's deposit insurance fund indeed fell to minus $8.2 billion in September, even after insured institutions were charged a special assessment of 5 basis points on total assets, less core capital, contingent loss reserves of $38.9 billion already set aside to cover expected losses on 2010 left the agency with total deposit insurance fund reserves of $30.7 billion.

The FDIC will further beef up its resources by requiring insured institutions to pony up three years of deposit insurance premiums in this month, or about $45 billion. To keep prepayments from affecting institutions' earnings, banks and thrifts will be allowed to book payments on a regular quarterly basis.

Based on initial loss estimates, bank failures during 2009 have cost the deposit insurance fund $32.4 billion.

--Written by Philip van Doorn in Jupiter, Fla.

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Philip W. van Doorn joined TheStreet.com Ratings., Inc., in February 2007. He is the senior analyst responsible for assigning financial strength ratings to banks and savings and loan institutions. He also comments on industry and regulatory trends. Mr. van Doorn has fifteen years experience, having served as a loan operations officer at Riverside National Bank in Fort Pierce, Florida, and as a credit analyst at the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York, where he monitored banks in New York, New Jersey and Puerto Rico. Mr. van Doorn has additional experience in the mutual fund and computer software industries. He holds a Bachelor of Science in business administration from Long Island University.

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