Energy

Smart Grid, Smart Move, Not-So-Smart Investment

Stock quotes in this article:GE, CEG, GOOG 

All of this is great, of course. The national grid is archaic and in need of updating and smart-grid technology promises less reliance on foreign oil. But, as always, we want to know whether this influx of interest in infrastructure could offer us a good investment opportunity.

When it comes to smart meters, GE is one of the strongest players in the space. An investment in GE, though, cannot rely upon the growth potential of smart grids, as its finance arm, its aerospace and the NBC networks will have far more impact on the bottom line. IBM (IBM) is engaged in the computer systems that power many of the networks on which early smart grids have been running. But, again, there are far more important components to the balance sheet, which make investment in IBM based solely on energy networks unreasonable.

However, there are still a few plays on all this that interest me - Itron (ITRI) is a utility service provider and meter manufacturer carrying a super-high multiple, because it has been a continued source of takeover rumors. As the smart-grid talk gets hotter, you might see this stock move up, although at $60 dollars, it's pretty pricey already. ABB group (ABB) is a huge energy infrastructure company, in which smart-grid technology only plays a relatively minor role right now. Still, with a more down-to-earth multiple and a 2% dividend, it's a good stock to hold that might become great if the push for smart-grid technology continues to gain steam. It's just too early to tell.

The government's infrastructure investment and the upgrades to our antiquated system is a terrific story for our continued march towards better energy management and independence. It just doesn't make for a great investment story right now.

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At the time of publication, Dicker had no positions in the stocks mentioned, but positions can change at any time.

Dan Dicker has been a floor trader at the New York Mercantile Exchange with more than 20 years' experience. He is a licensed commodities trade adviser. Dan's recognized energy market expertise includes active trading in crude oil, natural gas, unleaded gasoline and heating oil futures contracts; fundamental analysis including supply and demand statistics (DOE, EIA), CFTC trade reportage, volume and open interest; technical analysis including trend analysis, stochastics, Bollinger Bands, Elliot Wave theory, bar and tick charting and Japanese candlesticks; and trading expertise in outright, intermarket and intramarket spreads and cracks.

Dan also designed and supervised the introduction of the new Nymex PJM electricity futures contract, launched in April 2003, which cleared more than 600,000 contracts last year alone. Its launch has been the basis of Nymex's resurgence in the clearing of power market contracts over the last three years.

Dan Dicker has appeared as an energy analyst since 2002 with all the major financial news networks. He has lent his expertise in hundreds of live radio and television broadcasts as an analyst of the oil markets on CNBC, Bloomberg US and UK and CNNfn. Dan is the author of many energy articles published in Nymex and other trade journals.

Dan obtained a bachelor of arts degree from the State University of New York at Stony Brook in 1982.

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