Economic Calendar: Sept. 28-Oct. 2

Time (EST) Indicator (click for definition) Source (click for press release) Actual Forecast Previous (revised) Previous (original) Monday, September 28 No releases. Tuesday, September 29 9 a.m. ICSC-UBS Weekly Chain Store Sales Snapshot for the week ended September 26 International Council of Shopping Centers and UBS +0.1% n.a. -2.0% -2.0% 9 a.m. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index for the week ended September 26, vs. August Redbook Research -2.2% n.a. +0.4% +0.3%* 10 a.m. Consumer Confidence Index for September Conference Board 53.1 57.0 54.5 54.1 Wednesday, September 30 8:30 a.m. Gross domestic product for Q2 -- final Commerce Department -0.7% -1.2% see Actual -1.0% (Q2 - prelim.) -- -6.4% (Q1) Implicit price deflator 0.0% n.a. see Actual 0.0% (Q2 - prelim.) -- +1.9% (Q1) 9 a.m. Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ended September 25 -- Market Composite Index Mortgage Bankers Association 649.6 n.a. 668.5 668.5 Purchase Index 270.4 n.a. 288.3 288.3 9 a.m. Consumer Comfort Index for the week ended September 27 ABC News and Washington Post -46 n.a. -46 -46 9:45 a.m. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index for September National Association of Purchasing Management -- Chicago 46.1 52.0 50.0 50.0 Thursday, October 1 8:30 a.m. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended September 26 Labor Department +551,000 +535,000 +534,000 +530,000 Four-week average +548,000 n.a. +554,000 +554,000 8:30 a.m. Personal income for August Commerce Department +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% 0.0% Consumption +1.3% +1.1% +0.3% +0.2% 9 a.m. Bernanke speech Federal Reserve The Fed chairman speaks to House Committee on Financial Services on the topic: Regulatory Reform 10 a.m. Construction spending for August Census Bureau +0.8% -0.1% -1.1% -0.2% 10 a.m. ISM Index - Manufacturing for September Institute for Supply Management 52.6 54.0 54.0 52.9 Friday, October 2 8:30 a.m. Nonfarm payrolls for September Labor Department -263,000 -180,000 -201,000 -216,000 Average hourly earnings +0.1% +0.2% +0.4% +0.3% Unemployment rate +9.8% +9.8% +9.7% +9.7% Augmented unemployment rate +13.2% n.a. +12.8% +12.8% Pool of available workers unchgd. n.a. 21M 21M 10 a.m. Factory orders for August Census Bureau -0.8% +0.5% +1.4% +1.3% 10:30 a.m. Weekly Leading Index for the week ended September 25 Economic Cycle Research Institute +25.1% n.a. +24.3% +24.3%

P-Preliminary forecast
*Month through previous Saturday, vs. prior month
Expectations as reported by Reuters

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