Economic Calendar: July 13-July 17

Time (EST) Indicator (click for definition) Source (click for press release) Actual Forecast Previous (revised) Previous (original) Monday, July 13 2 p.m. Federal budget for June FY '09 Treasury Department -$94.3B -$97.0B $33.5B $33.5B (June FY '08) Tuesday, July 14 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index for June Labor Department +1.8% +1.0% +0.2% +0.2% Ex- food and energy +0.5% +0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 8:30 a.m. Retail sales for June Census Bureau +0.6% +0.4% +0.5% +0.5% Ex-autos +0.3% +0.5% +0.4% +0.5% 9 a.m. ICSC-UBS Weekly Chain Store Sales Snapshot for the week ended July 11 International Council of Shopping Centers and UBS -0.9% n.a. +0.1% +0.1% 9 a.m. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index for the week ended July 11, vs. June Redbook Research -5.7% n.a. -1.7% -1.7%* 10 a.m. Business inventories for May Census Bureau -1.0% -0.8% -1.3% -1.1% Wednesday, July 15 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index for June Labor Department +0.7% +0.6% +0.1% +0.1% Ex- food and energy +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% 9 a.m. Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ended July 10 -- Market Composite Index Mortgage Bankers Association 514.4 n.a. 493.1 493.1 Purchase Index 258.8 n.a. 285.6 285.6 9 a.m. Consumer Comfort Index for the week ended July 12 ABC News and Washington Post -51 n.a. -52 -52 9:15 a.m. Industrial production for June Federal Reserve -0.4% -0.6% -1.2% -1.1% Capacity utilization 68.0% 67.9% 68.2% 68.3% 2 p.m. Federal Open Market Committee minutes Federal Reserve The Fed releases the minutes of its monetary policymaking committee's June 23-24meeting. Thursday, July 16 8:30 a.m. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended July 11 Labor Department +522,000 +552,000 +569,000 +565,000 Four-week average +585,000 n.a. +607,000 +606,000 10 p.m. Philadelphia Fed Index for July Philadelphia Fed -7.5 -5.0 -2.2 -2.2 Friday, July 17 8:30 a.m. Housing starts for June Census Bureau .582M .523M .562M .532M Building permits .563M .530M .518M .518M 10:30 a.m. Weekly Leading Index for the week ended July 10 Economic Cycle Research Institute +7.0% n.a. +6.2% +5.4%

P-Preliminary forecast
*Month through previous Saturday, vs. prior month
Expectations as reported by Reuters

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