Investing Opinion

The Market's Precarious Position

Stock quotes in this article:AA, RT, FDO 

Remember, we're in unprecedented times now. How is the situation here in California going to affect bondholders? Supply continues to be an issue for the Treasury. Will foreigners continue to buy our bonds in earnest? Geopolitical issues are concerning, too. The market seems to be resisting pricing in these and many other unknowns, which for me is rather dangerous.

Volume Tracker

As a big volume follower, I've noticed the market rising on lower volume. This makes sense, as the volume usually comes from the big-elephant buyers (institutions), and why would they be buying now with the markets up 33% from the lows? When prices come down is when we'll see their participation.

What's holding it up? Certainly a lack of sellers, along with "scared" shorts who are afraid of the the squeeze. (If you were short May 29, you felt the pain that day and the next few!) It doesn't take much get the market to rise when the sellers are not active. Getting back to volume, I am looking for some signs of life from sellers if the market starts to break. If so, there will be a market slide and good correction upcoming.

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Bob Lang is a senior analyst and portfolio manager at BigTrends.com. He manages subscription services for the firm and writes timely articles about markets, trends and the economy. Lang's articles can be viewed on numerous sites on the Internet. Together with renowned market timer Price Headley, Lang has helped build his supported products into a winning class. He participates in a coaching forum for advanced traders in which he teaches his unique style of trading.

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Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
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