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A Pot of Fool's Gold

SAN FRANCISCO -- Is the stock market beginning to revert to yet another Wall Street/Main Street dichotomy?

On Tuesday, stocks kept their upward bias intact, despite the lack of any significantly positive economic or corporate news -- or any real indication that most investors are embracing more risk.

Momentum continues to be the order of the day, so much so that the S&P 500 is now down only 14% this year. At 778, a touching of 800 seems less challenging than it did at this time last week.

The continuing rebound in financial stocks continue to buoy the broader market. The Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) exchange-traded fund, which jumped 31% last week, finished 6.5% higher, while financial-giant-cum-daytrading favorite Citigroup (C - Get Report) rose 8.6%, trading 626 million shares.

Tuesday's market began an awful lot like Monday's -- a run-up with about two hours to spare, then the fork in the road to see whether we chalked another mark under "up day" or down day." Yesterday, stocks zigged, today they zagged.

However, the two-day pattern does suggest that the will of investors to take the market higher can't necessarily be counted on to do a lot more than it just has. It was, after all, the mini-surges in stocks in both late January and early February that presaged the markets plunge to 2009 lows hit just 11 days ago.

And measures of market breadth that indicate investors' willingness to embrace the entire market haven't been consistently strong. New lows on the New York Stock Exchange outnumbered new highs by 8 to 1, while the percentage of NYSE stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages is still off the norm of the past 200 days.
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SYM TRADE IT LAST %CHG
XLF $25.04 0.40%
AA $9.87 2.60%
C $58.37 0.71%
CAT $77.78 3.27%
NOK $6.62 -0.60%

Markets

Chart of I:DJI
DOW 17,630.27 +189.68 1.09%
S&P 500 2,093.25 +25.61 1.24%
NASDAQ 5,089.2060 +49.43 0.98%

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