Opinion

Opinion: Deflating the Hype About Deflation

Stock quotes in this article:USO, UCO, OIH 

Oil stocks are not as good, but investors could also benefit from owning Energy Select SPDR (XLE), which has among its holdings Chevron (CVX), Exxon (XOM), Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and Anadarko Petroleum (APC).

Another choice is Oil Services HOLDRs (OIH), which holds shares in Halliburton (HAL), Baker Hughes International (BHI) and Schlumberger (SLB).

Gold could be owned efficiently through SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) or PowerShares DB Gold Double Long ETN (DGP); again, both are for more aggressive investors. However, gold is overvalued right now relative to other commodities, especially oil. It may be a good idea to wait for a pull back in gold before buying.

Another way to benefit from future inflation is to take advantage of low-interest rates and lock in long-term financing to buy income property such as apartments in supply-constrained markets that will benefit from future inflation through increased rental rates and higher cash flow to the owner.

Do not believe the hype about deflation. It could be dangerous to your financial health. Right now is the best time to start hedging against future inflation because most people don't believe it's going to happen. Now is the classic time to buy a straw hat in winter, because people are just giving them away.

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Christopher Grey is a managing partner of Third Wave Partners. He currently has positions in UCO as mentioned in this article. This article should not be interpreted as personal investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Interested readers may contact the writer by emailing cg@thirdwavepartners.net or visiting the company's Web site, www.thirdwavepartners.net.

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Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
12,393.45 1,310.33 2,827.34 15.81
Oil *
101.78
DOWN
26.41
DOWN
2.99
DOWN
10.02
DOWN
0.44
10 Yr
1.58%
SPDR Gold
151.62
-0.21%
-0.23%
-0.35%
-2.71%
Data delayed 20 minutes

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