It's unlikely that Jamba will survive in its current form and I would avoid investing in this penny stock. So why even mention Jamba?
When you think about it, Jamba itself is really irrelevant. But there are two important takeaways here. First, avoid fad stocks, as their success is usually brief. The second takeaway: At $1.99 per smoothie, McDonald's would have to sell about 175 million smoothies to equal all of Jamba's annual revenues. That might sound like a huge amount of smoothies, but for McDonald's, it's not. With 14,000 stores in the U.S., each McDonald's location would have to sell about 17 smoothies a day (on average) to eclipse Jamba's sales. That will be relatively easy for McDonald's to achieve and you can bet that McDonald's will have much higher profit margins on those smoothie sales, so the company may not even have to sell as much as I just calculated.
There are several ways you can identify companies that may not survive financial distress. Some of those key indicators are:
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