Financial Advisor Update

Cramer: Being Upbeat Isn't Good Enough

Stock quotes in this article: FO , TUP  

This post appeared earlier today on RealMoney. Click here for a free trial, and enjoy incisive commentary all day, every day.

Have I been had? That's how I feel recently about two interviews I conducted on "Mad Money," one with Bruce Carbonari of Fortune Brands (FO Quote) and the other with Rick Goings from Tupperware(TUP Quote).

Let me say from the outset that these two companies and these two CEOs have been gracious enough to come on my show to talk about their businesses and their prospects and how they would survive in tough times.

Both have what I call accidentally high yields. Both are upbeat people and like to see the good in their businesses. They are not "downbeat" -- perhaps even when they should be.

That's the real question at hand. Both Carbonari and Goings recently professed some pretty strong beliefs that they could ride through this period with what I would call minor damage, in Fortune Brands' case because it has some noncyclical businesses like liquor, and in Tupperware's case because they have counter-recessionary traits like people needing a second job and so they turn to Tupperware selling.

These stories have not panned out.

Fortune Brands' quarter was awful, along all product lines. Carbonari might disagree with that analysis, but I am not fighting Mr. Market on it. The businesses just aren't holding up well and I don't see the big share take that Carbonari says is occurring.

Goings was on the show just last week saying good things about the future. Last week! Then Tuesday he gave guidance that was so much more downbeat than what he said on my show that I now think I was just plain had.

I don't think either man failed to tell the truth. I do think that Carbonari was just too bullish given the downturn.

But Goings? Let's just say I haven't figured out what happened yet. All I know is that it just doesn't smell right to me.

And people got hurt listening to how upbeat he was a week ago vs. where he was two days ago. Maybe I leave it at that. For now.

At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in the stocks mentioned.

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Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

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