Commodities may have been a bigger disappointment than REITs. The article says there are 238 ETFs and ETNs, and a lot of them were down a lot in 2008. The decline could have been because they had too large of a run-up, or the pricing-in of a global slowdown, or both. For example, United States Oil ETF (USO Quote) and iPath AIG Nickel ETN (JJN Quote) were each down more than 50% in the past year, and the e-Tracs CMCI Long Platinum ETN (PTM Quote) fell a similar amount since May, when it was first listed.
I am a believer in having a moderate exposure to commodities for a couple of reasons. Gold has a track record of going up when there is an external shock to the market, such as on Sept. 11, 2001. In that light, it becomes more of an insurance policy. If inflation does get out of hand and gold benefits from that, fine, but my primary interest is protection against a shock. There is also a supply-and-demand story with various segments of the soft and agricultural commodity space. This ties in with an ascendancy of a middle class in many emerging markets. Part of that ascendancy is a healthier diet with more protein. This theme, which I would expect to be played out over many years, will have bumps along the way. But with prices being down, I recently added PowerShares Agricultural ETF (DBA Quote) for clients. Between DBA and SPDR Gold (GLD Quote), clients' total exposure to commodities is around 5%.
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| Dow Jones | S&P 500 | NASDAQ | 10-Year Note | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10,023.42 | 1,069.30 | 2,112.44 | 35.03 |
Oil *
76.05
|
|
UP
17.46
|
UP
2.67
|
UP
7.12
|
DOWN
0.30
|
10 Yr
3.50%
SPDR Gold
107.43
|
|
+0.17%
|
+0.25%
|
+0.34%
|
-0.85%
|
Data delayed 20 minutes |















