A Long-Dated Options Bet on Transocean

Stock quotes in this article: RIG , TROW  

Another way that the investor could profit on this trade prior to expiration is if the implied volatility of the option rises. Currently, the implied volatility of these options is roughly 55. If that implied volatility were to go higher, then the calls will go up in price, even if the stock stays at $47. Remember, however, as we pointed out in yesterday's article about T. Rowe Price(TROW Quote) that if implied volatility goes down, the option can go down, even if the stock rallies.

Investors looking at RIG could therefore find this options activity interesting for at least two reasons. The first is that it is bullish activity that could indicate that someone is potentially bottom-fishing after the declines that RIG has suffered. The second interesting point is that this is a long-term trade. These options expire in more than two years, giving the investor plenty of time for a thesis to play out.

Jud Pyle is the chief investment strategist for Options News Network and the portfolio manager of TheStreet.com Options Alerts. Click here for a free trial for Options Alerts. Pyle writes regularly about options investing for TheStreet.com.

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Jud Pyle, CFA, is the chief investment strategist for Options News Network. Pyle started his career in finance in 1994 as a derivative analyst with SBC Warburg. After four years with Warburg, Pyle joined PEAK6 Investments, L.P., in 1998 as an equity options trader and as chief risk officer. A native of Minneapolis, Pyle received his bachelor's degree in economics and history from Colgate University in 1994. As a trader, Pyle traded on average over 5,000 contracts per day, and over 1.2 million contracts per year. He also built the stock group for all PEAK6 Investments, L.P. hedging, which currently trades on average over 5 million shares per day, and over 1 billion shares per year. Further, from 2004-06, he managed the trading and risk management for PEAK6 Investments L.P.'s lead market-maker operation on the former PCX exchange, which traded more than 10,000 contracts per day. Pyle is the "Mad About Options" resident expert. He is also a regular contributor to "Options Physics."




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