TheStreet Ratings

Nine Stock Funds for an Uncertain '09

Stock quotes in this article:SGOVX, FDFAX, GASFX 

President-elect Obama also campaigned on a promise to allocate enormous expenditures on an environmental initiative, including alternative energy. With holdings in alt-energy stocks such as JA Solar Holdings (JASO), Suntech Power Holdings (STP) and Vestas Wind Systems of Germany, the Fidelity Select Environmental Fund (FSLEX) stands to benefit.

FSLEX's largest portfolio holding, Waste Management (WMI), describes itself as being in the "waste-to-energy" business.

Those with longer-term investment perspectives might speculate that the Obama stimulus will reignite industry and thereby stimulate demand for fuels, chemicals, metals and other resources.

A beneficiary of that scenario would likely include the ING Global Natural Resources Fund (LEXMX).

The fund's portfolio includes investments in coal, forest products, mining and iron and steel. Its largest holdings are in oil and gas, with large positions in Exxon Mobil, Schlumberger (SLB), Marathon Oil (MRO) and Halliburton (HAL).

LEXMX's natural resource holdings would also insulate holders from the erosive impact of inflation, a possible side-effect of overly ambitious fiscal and monetary stimulation

The Fed's latest policy statement of tolerance of near-zero short-term rates resulted in almost instant weakening of the U.S. dollar. The ambitious Obama stimulus proposal and environmental and social programs could result in additional loss of confidence in the greenback by foreigners.

A diversified portfolio of foreign investments would hedge against erosion of the U.S. currency, and a fund to consider for that purpose is the First Eagle Overseas Fund (SGOVX).

Its portfolio management team, headed by legendary international investor Jean-Marie Eveillard, has its holdings distributed as follows: Europe at 31.6%; Japan, 30.2%; Asia (excluding Japan), 16.4%; Latin America, 2.4%; Canada, 1.5%; and South Africa, 1.3%. Its largest holding, gold, is to many the ultimate inflation hedge.

SOME TRADITIONAL DEFENSIVE PLAYS FOR RECESSIONARY PERIODS
FUND NAME
First American
Eqty Inc A
James Advantage Market Neutral A
Fidelity Select Consumer
Staples Port
FBR Gas Utility
Index Fd
TICKER
FFEIX
JAMNX
FDFAX
GASFX
TOTAL NET ASSETS ($MIL.)
100.9
48.8
706.9
198.5
TOTAL EXPENSE RATIO (%)
1.16
1.95
0.91
0.79
MAX. INITIAL SALES CHARGE (%)
5.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
MIN. INITIAL PURCHASE ($)
1,000
2,000
2,500
2,000
TheStreet.com RATINGS REWARDS GRADE
B
A+
A+
A
TheStreet.com RATINGS RISK GRADE
C+
B+
C+
C+
TheStreet.com RATINGS OVERALL GRADE
B
A+
A-
B+
TheStreet.com RATINGS RECOMMENDATION
BUY
BUY
BUY
BUY
3-MO. TOTAL RET'N (%)
-24.14
2.61
-18.58
-24.79
12-MO. TOTAL RET'N (%)
-34.01
-2.67
-25.06
-27.57
3-YR. ANN'L RET'N (%)
-5.57
1.26
3.62
0.26
YIELD (%)
6.5
0.9
0.0
2.9
POSSIBLE 2009 INVESTMENT PLAY
Dividends provide income during downturns
No net exposure to the stock market
Consumers still need some products during recessions
Utility industry tends to be recession-resistant
Source: TheStreet.com Ratings (Data as of 11/30/2008)
For more information, check out an explanation of our ratings

STOCK MUTUAL FUNDS FOR THE OBAMA-BERNANKE DUET
FUND NAME
Allianz RCM Wellness
Fd A
Virtus Glb Infrastructure
Fund A
Fidelity Select Environmental
ING Global Natural Resources
Fund A
First Eagle Overseas
Fund A
TICKER
RAGHX
PGUAX
FSLEX
LEXMX
SGOVX
TOTAL NET ASSETS ($MIL.)
15.6
63.4
49.6
83.8
3,521.2
TOTAL EXPENSE RATIO (%)
1.52
1.25
1.08
1.44
1.14
MAX. INITIAL SALES CHARGE (%)
5.50
5.75
0.00
5.75
5.00
MIN. INITIAL PURCHASE ($)
5,000
500
2,500
1,000
2,500
TheStreet.com RATINGS REWARDS GRADE
B-
A
B
A-
A
TheStreet.com RATINGS RISK GRADE
B-
C+
C
C-
C+
TheStreet.com RATINGS OVERALL GRADE
B
B+
B-
B-
B+
TheStreet.com RATINGS RECOMMENDATION
BUY
BUY
BUY
BUY
BUY
3-MO. TOTAL RET'N (%)
-26.95
-24.09
-29.18
-37.66
-19.61
12-MO. TOTAL RET'N (%)
-31.78
-33.56
-32.97
-37.97
-26.80
3-YR. ANN'L RET'N (%)
-7.58
1.35
-6.03
3.01
0.56
YIELD (%)
0.0
2.7
0.5
1.6
4.8
POSSIBLE 2009 INVESTMENT PLAY
Recession-resistant sector, plus new gov't healthcare spending
Global economic stimulus spending on infrastructure
New administration spending on the environment
Global economic recovery will result in demand for resources
Fed hyper-stimulation erodes U.S. dollar
Source: TheStreet.com Ratings (Data as of 11/30/2008)
For more information, check out an explanation of our ratings

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Richard Widows is a senior financial analyst for TheStreet.com Ratings. Prior to joining TheStreet.com, Widows was senior product manager for quantitative analytics at Thomson Financial. After receiving an M.B.A. from Santa Clara University in California, his career included development of investment information systems at data firms, including the Lipper division of Reuters. His international experience includes assignments in the U.K. and East Asia.

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Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
12,393.45 1,310.33 2,827.34 15.81
Oil *
101.78
DOWN
26.41
DOWN
2.99
DOWN
10.02
DOWN
0.44
10 Yr
1.58%
SPDR Gold
151.62
-0.21%
-0.23%
-0.35%
-2.71%
Data delayed 20 minutes

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