TSC Ratings' Updates: Sears

Stock quotes in this article: CSE , IDA , SAFM , SHLD , ULTA , CFI , GMTC  

Shares are down 58.5% on the year, underperforming the S&P 500. Despite the heavy decline in its share price, this stock is still more expensive (when compared to its current earnings) than most other companies in its industry.

We've initiated coverage on specialty retailer Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance(ULTA Quote) at sell, driven by its generally disappointing historical performance in the stock itself and poor profit margins.

Ulta's gross profit margin of 31.2% is low, having decreased from the same quarter last year, and its net profit margin of 2% trails the industry average. Its current debt-to-equity ratio, 0.60, is low and is below the industry average, implying successful management of debt levels. The quick ratio, however, of 0.12 is very weak and demonstrates a lack of ability to pay short-term obligations. On the basis of return on equity, Ulta has underperformed the industry average but outperformed the S&P 500.

EPS are up 12.5% in the most recent quarter compared with the same quarter a year ago. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings to 49 cents from 31 cents. Shares are down 68.1% on the year, underperforming the S&P 500, but the stock is still more expensive (when compared to its current earnings) than most other companies in its industry.

Other ratings changes include Culp(CFI Quote) and GameTech(GMTC Quote), both downgraded from hold to sell.

All ratings changes generated on Dec. 8 are listed below.

Ticker Company
Current
Change
Previous
BERK Berkshire Bancorp
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
CAST ChinaCast Education
HOLD
Upgrade
SELL
CASTU ChinaCast Education
HOLD
Upgrade
SELL
CCFH CCF Holding
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
CFI Culp
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
CNTY Century Casinos
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
CSE CapitalSource
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
GMTC GameTech International
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
HSWI HSW International
SELL
Initiated
IDA IdaCorp
BUY
Upgrade
HOLD
ITP Intertape Polymer Group
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
KINV Kentucky Investors
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
MLNK ModusLink Global Solutions
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
MTR Mesa Royalty Trust
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
RAVN Raven Industries
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
SAFM Sanderson Farms
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
SHLD Sears Holdings
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
SLI SL Industries
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
STON StoneMor Partners
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
TGB Taseko Mines
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
ULTA Ulta Salon
SELL
Initiated
WST West Pharmaceutical Services
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
WXCO WHX
SELL
Initiated

Each business day, TheStreet.com Ratings updates its ratings on the stocks it covers. The proprietary ratings model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period, including both price appreciation and dividends. Buy, hold or sell ratings designate how the Ratings group expects these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates.

While the ratings model is quantitative, it uses both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and company earnings forecasts. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenue, financial strength and company cash flows.

However, the rating does not incorporate all of the factors that can alter a stock's performance. For example, it doesn't always factor in recent corporate or industry events that could affect the stock price, nor does it include recent technology developments and competitive dynamics that may affect the company.

For those reasons, we believe a rating alone cannot tell the whole story, and that it should be part of an investor's overall research.

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This article was written by a staff member of TheStreet.com Ratings.




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