Financial Advisor Update

H-P's Optimism Does Not Compute

Stock quotes in this article: HPQ , IBM , DELL , NT , GLW , INTC  

The current crisis is bigger than 2001's, and cost cutting eventually becomes ineffective. A diverse product range is a strength, but not so much in a "diverse" downturn that is hitting every industry and corner of the globe. The tech sector's recently been hit with bad news from Nortel(NT Quote), Intel(INTC Quote), and Corning (GLW Quote), to name just a few, and PC maker Dell(DELL Quote) reports Thursday. From the tables below we see that 70% of H-P's revenue comes from overseas, where countries are yet to feel the full brunt of the economic storm.

The market is only oversold if company earnings improve into 2009, but that scenario is unlikely given the spate of corporations near collapse and the level of unemployment, which is increasing by the day. Earnings for the majority of companies will fall into 2009 and, with that, stock prices will follow.

Product Segments
Revenues
10/31/2007
USD
Millions
Imaging & Printing Group
28,465
Personal Systems Group
36,409
HP Services
16,646
HP Financial Services
2,336
Corporate Investments
762
Enterprise Storage & Servers
18,769
Software
2,325
Total
105,712
Geographic Analysis
Revenues
10/31/2007
USD
Millions
U.S.
34,814
Non-U.S.
69,472
Total
104,286
Source: Bloomberg
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Sam Patel, CFA, is the manager of mutual fund research for the TheStreet.com Ratings.

In keeping with TSC's Investment Policy, employees of TheStreet.com Ratings with access to pre-publication ratings data must pre-clear any potential trade through the legal department, and are prohibited from trading any security that is the subject of an unpublished rating revision until the second business day after the rating is published.

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