TARP Deadline Could Cue Bank M&A
Today's deadline to apply for U.S. government investments through the $700 billion bailout bill Congress approved last month could usher in a new round of M&A for the banking sector.
Wittingly or not, the U.S. government's Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP, is likely to end up deciding which banks survive and which either fail or get acquired at a bargain basement price. Government officials administering the program have said it will not be used to prop up weak banks. That means any bank that applies and doesn't receive equity from the government will have what amounts to an official stamp of disapproval from its regulator.
"What I worry about is that the media picks up on institutions that didn't get approved for the program and everybody can analyze the fact that they would be helped by this additional capital and it may cause runs on those particular banks," says Tom Brown, head of financial-services hedge fund Second Curve Capital.
This is particularly troubling to Brown, because he believes regulators are prone to making some poor judgments. He cites the case of National City (NCC), which had a Tier-1 ratio of greater than 10%, but was turned down for TARP, forcing it into the arms of PNC Financial Services Group (PNC) for $2.25 per share Oct. 24, below its $2.75 closing price the day before.A call to a Treasury spokeswoman was not returned. "I think what we're going to find out years from now is there is a fairly high element of arbitrary-ness in this," Brown says.
Select the service that is right for you!COMPARE ALL SERVICES
Jim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.
- $2.5+ million portfolio
- Large-cap and dividend focus
- Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
- Weekly roundups
Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.
- Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
- Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
- A custom stock screener
- Upgrade/downgrade alerts
Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.
- Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
- Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
- Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
All of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.
- Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
- Intraday commentary & news
- Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Our options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.
- 100+ monthly options trading ideas
- Actionable options commentary & news
- Real-time trading community
- Options TV