TSC Ratings' Updates: Apple

Stock quotes in this article: AAPL , GNW , EL , BIIB , GME , HOLX , TOL  

Shares are down 57.44% on the year, underperforming the S&P 500. The fact that the stock has come down in price over the past year should not necessarily be interpreted as a negative; it could be one of the factors that may help make the stock attractive down the road. Right now, however, we believe that it is too soon to buy.

We've downgraded Toll Brothers (TOL Quote) from hold to sell, driven by its feeble growth in its earnings per share, deteriorating net income, disappointing return on equity, poor profit margins and decline in the stock price during the past year.

Toll Brothers has experienced a steep decline in earnings per share in the most recent quarter compared with its performance from the same quarter a year ago. Earnings per share have declined over the last two years, and we anticipate that this should continue in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, Toll reported lower earnings of 19 cents vs. $4.18 in the prior year. For the next year, the market is expecting a contraction of 1026.3% in earnings to -$1.76. Net income is down 210.6% compared with the same quarter last year, to -$29.3 million, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 and the household durables industry.

Return on equity has also greatly decreased, a signal of major weakness within the corporation. Toll's return on equity significantly trails that of both the industry average and the S&P 500. It's gross profit margin of 10.4% is extremely low, having decreased from the same quarter last year, and its net profit margin of 3.6% trails the industry average. Shares are down 14.5% on the year, which we believe reflects several factors, including the market's overall decline (which was actually deeper), the sharp decline in the company's earnings per share. The fact that the stock is now selling for less than others in its industry in relation to its current earnings is not reason enough to justify a buy rating at this time.

Other ratings changes include Biogen Idec(BIIB Quote), downgraded from buy to hold, and GameStop(GME Quote), also downgraded from buy to hold.

All ratings changes generated on Nov. 13 are listed below.

Ticker Company
Current
Change
Previous
AAPL Apple
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
AGM.A Federal Agriculture
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
AGU Agrium
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
AIP Hadera paper
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
BCO Brinks
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
BIIB Biogen Idec
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
BNE Bowne
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
BRC Brady
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
BUD Anhueser-Busch
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
CSFL Centerstate Banks
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
CSL Carlisle
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
CXO Concho Resources
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
EL Estee Lauder
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
FLS FlowerServe
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
FRT Federal Realty
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
GME GameStop
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
GNW Genworth Financial
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
GSVI GSV
HOLD
Upgrade
SELL
HOLX Hologic
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
IEP Icahn Enterprises
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
INTX Intersections
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
LCRY Lecroy
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
MELI Mercadolibre
SELL
Initiated
MTSC MTS Systems
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
NATH Nathan's Famous
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
OPLK Oplink Communications
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
SNA Snap-On
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
SVR Syniverse
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
TOL Toll Brothers
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
TRMB Trimble Navigation
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
TSU TIM Participacoes
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD
VM Virgin Mobile
SELL
Initiated
WAT Waters
HOLD
Downgrade
BUY
XNPT Xenoport
SELL
Downgrade
HOLD

Each business day, TheStreet.com Ratings updates its ratings on the stocks it covers. The proprietary ratings model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period, including both price appreciation and dividends. Buy, hold or sell ratings designate how the Ratings group expects these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates.

While the ratings model is quantitative, it uses both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and company earnings forecasts. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenue, financial strength and company cash flows.

However, the rating does not incorporate all of the factors that can alter a stock's performance. For example, it doesn't always factor in recent corporate or industry events that could affect the stock price, nor does it include recent technology developments and competitive dynamics that may affect the company.

For those reasons, we believe a rating alone cannot tell the whole story, and that it should be part of an investor's overall research.

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This article was written by a staff member of TheStreet.com Ratings.




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