Energy Education Series
Kusick on A-Power and Solar, Wind Investing
As the prices of crude oil and other energy commodities made their historic rise in recent years, alternative energy became an increasingly attractive area for investors looking for big gains. However, the slowing global economy and collapsing oil prices resulted in a massive pullback in expectations for the near-term potential of the formerly red-hot sector, along with huge declines in share prices.
But with dozens of attractive energy names -- from SunPower (SPWRA) to Quanta Services(PWR) -- trading more than 50% off their former highs, it may be time for investors to start thinking about some speculative names that have significant upside potential over the next year. While it makes sense that companies working with solar, wind, and geothermal energy generation became more attractive as crude oil prices skyrocketed above $100 a barrel during the summer, the fall in crude prices doesn't negate the need for energy sources that provide independence from traditional energy commodity prices. Governments across the globe remain interested in the long-term benefits of investing in alternative energy as a means to protect against a future surge in prices, as well as a means to protect the environment for future generations. In managing the Breakout Stocks model portfolio, one of our favorite names in the alternative energy space is a small Chinese company, A-Power Energy Generation Systems (APWR). After a brutal decline that brought the stock from above $30 to around $4 in just four months, shares have stabilized and remain an attractive play for aggressive investors. Shares of A-Power suffered mightily as investors fled small alternative energy names at the end of the summer -- a move exacerbated by the panicked selling that marked the worst October in recent stock market history. Still, we've remained very excited about the long-term potential in this name, based on its attractive position to benefit from the Chinese government's plan to invest in wind power over the next decade. As Western reporters visited Beijing during the Summer Olympics, the world got an up-close look at China's massive pollution problem. After years of unchecked industrial production, China is faced with the potential for significant long-term health issues for its huge population -- a problem that makes alternative energy a necessity rather than an economic luxury. Regardless of the price of oil, coal and other energy commodities, the Chinese government simply has to promote alternative energy sources such as nuclear, solar and wind farms as a means to combat its growing pollution problem.
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| Dow Jones | S&P 500 | NASDAQ | 10-Year Note |
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| 12,393.45 | 1,310.33 | 2,827.34 | 15.81 |
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