One Year Later

Cramer: Better After the AIG Save

 

This post appeared earlier today on RealMoney. Click here for a free trial, and enjoy incisive commentary all day, every day.

How about this? We are better off than we were yesterday.

You have to understand that we simply wouldn't be able to open most financials if AIG (AIG) had failed. Our new sovereign wealth fund, the Federal Reserve, came up with an elegant plan to take over AIG and make good on what would have been broken guarantees that would have caused worldwide capital calls and bank closings that honestly would have made the Great Depression seem like the Little Depression, World War I to our new World War II. That's worth avoiding.

It's hard to rally on this. People are still reeling from the enormity of it and the fragility that we didn't know about. I am actually pleasantly surprised that the Fed recognized that we had a problem this size on our hands.

You have to look at this only one way: Without this nationalization, we might not have had banks paying off other banks. We would have a seize-up and a destruction of capital that we simply couldn't handle.

Now we are going to rebuild on a firmer basis.

I believe, again, that AIG was actually somewhat solvent but it had guarantees meant to be paid off, like Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE), simply on house depreciation. It was a miserable underwriter and arrogant beyond all get-out, and it wasn't just Martin Sullivan that caused the problem. The now allegedly senior statesman Hank Greenberg set up this model, AIG simply took it to an extreme.

Last night before the news that Lloyds might buy HBOS, another mortgage issuer of no judgment, it looked like we could be down big on the recognition of the trouble we must have been in.

Now it looks like we simply aren't in as much trouble as yesterday. That makes things more constructive and not as worth selling after this save.

At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in the stocks mentioned.

>To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. Outside contributing columnists for TheStreet.com and RealMoney.com, including Cramer, may, from time to time, write about stocks in which they have a position. In such cases, appropriate disclosure is made. To see his personal portfolio and find out what trades Cramer will make before he makes them, sign up for Action Alerts PLUS. Watch Cramer on "Mad Money" weeknights on CNBC. To order Cramer's newest book -- "Jim Cramer's Stay Mad for Life: Get Rich, Stay Rich (Make Your Kids Even Richer)," click here. Click here to order "Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich," click here to order "Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World," click here to get "You Got Screwed!" and click here for Cramer's autobiography, "Confessions of a Street Addict." While he cannot provide personalized investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback and invites you to send comments by clicking here.

TheStreet.com has a revenue-sharing relationship with Amazon.com under which it receives a portion of the revenue from Amazon.com purchases by customers directed there from TheStreet.com.

TheStreet Premium Services

Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS:
Trade right alongside a Wall Street pro — enjoy access to his Charitable Trust portfolio and be sent trade alerts BEFORE he makes a move. Learn More
OptionsProfits
OptionsProfits:
Get 50+ trade ideas a week from the industry's top options experts. Plus — exclusive commentary on market trends and essential trading tools. Learn More
Real Money
Real Money:
Our team of professional Wall Street Pros — including Jim Cramer, Doug Kass, and Nicholas Vardy — delivers intelligent analysis, timely trade ideas, and colorful commentary. Learn More
Stocks Under $10
Stocks Under $10:
Break into the market with small- and mid-cap stocks... all $10 or less! David Peltier tells you exactly which low-priced stocks he's buying and selling. Learn More
To begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
blog comments powered by Disqus
Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
12,393.45 1,310.33 2,827.34 15.81
Oil *
101.78
DOWN
26.41
DOWN
2.99
DOWN
10.02
DOWN
0.44
10 Yr
1.58%
SPDR Gold
151.62
-0.21%
-0.23%
-0.35%
-2.71%
Data delayed 20 minutes

Top Stories and Tools

Articles From

After the Bell

Before the Bell

Booyah! Newsletter

Midday Bell

TheStreet Top 10 Stories

Winners & Losers

We respect your privacy.
Podcasts

Connect with TheStreet