U.S. Playing Poker with Russia

The analysts at Stratfor write that Russia might envision attacking Poland as the winning play:

It is a risk Moscow might take. First, the Russians know the German and Polish military capacity - and the limits of available American power. Second, the failure to defend a member would destroy NATO's credibility and shred the alliance.

The Poles are nervous. We should be as well. The last time Poland was involved in something this serious, it resulted in the Second World War.