Cramer: Look at the Facts on Financials

08/08/08 - 02:51 PM EDT

, MS (Cramer's Pick) , GS , MER , BZH , GM , F , SIRI , AIG , C , WM , LEH , JPM , WFC , FRE , FNM , BAC , WB , MBI , ABK
Jim Cramer

This column by Jim Cramer appeared on RealMoney earlier today. To check out a free trial to RealMoney, please click here.

If you listen to the bank bears, everything's worse than it was four weeks ago. The losses are increasing, the auction-rate preferreds are now biting, the mortgage implode-a-meter now measures how many homebuilders are going under. German banks are repossessing Vegas vanity projects, and Freddie Mac's (FRE Quote - Cramer on FRE - Stock Picks) moaning that it isn't their fault, they didn't compromise standards, things have just gotten much worse.

To which I say, let me give you some evidence that would suggest otherwise. Check out the prices from July 15 and those from last night's close:

When I made my bottom call -- as usual maligned by people who say I have called many bottoms -- regardless of whether I was saying a trading bottom or whatever, I was simply speaking of not violating those levels. There's a host of other commodity-consuming companies' levels that also hit bottom at the same time with the peak in oil that I don't think will be violated.

My evidence doesn't say that things are going to roar. I believe that Fannie and Freddie will have to be bailed out by the federal government and the common will get crushed, contrary to what the regulators are saying. I think Fannie's numbers today are much worse than should be allowed, and the common should be confiscated this afternoon -- the heck with the shareholders. Both FNM and FRE common shareholders should be given 10% of NewCo, with the government getting 90%, so we can benefit from the comeback. FNM and FRE are both worthless right now; I am not one who defends them. I think they are worse minus 10 or something, but stocks stop at zero.

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