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TSC Ratings' Updates: Southwest Airlines

Return on equity has greatly decreased when compared with its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a sign of major weakness within the corporation. Compared with other companies in the industrial conglomerates industry and the overall market, Tyco's return on equity significantly trails that of both the industry average and the S&P 500. Its weakness in its cash flow is apparent, compared with the same quarter last year, its net operating cash flow has significantly decreased to -$2.440 billion, a decrease of about 254%. Net income has fallen significantly to $280 million from $835 million when compared with the same quarter one year ago -- a decrease of about 66%. This company has reported somewhat volatile earnings recently but we believe it is poised for EPS growth in the coming year.

During the past fiscal year, Tyco swung to a loss, reporting a loss of $5.14 a share compared with a gain of $1.60 a share in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings of $2.77 a share. Tyco's stock is off 15.26% from its price level of one year ago, reflecting the general market trend and ignoring their higher earnings per share compared with the year-earlier quarter. Turning toward the future, the fact that the stock has come down in price over the past year should not necessarily be interpreted as a negative; it could be one of the factors that may help make the stock attractive down the road. Right now, however, we believe that it is too soon to buy. Tyco had been rated a hold since April 8, 2008.

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