Weekend Reading: Oil and Brokerages

06/15/08 - 03:10 PM EDT

Paul Kedrosky

Good morning and welcome to another edition of Weekend Reading on this final day of the U.S. Open. First, a look back at the week that just finished, then a look forward to the week ahead, and finally, a summary of articles and papers worth reading.

Last week was a wild one for the markets. We had the Dow and Nasdaq going in different directions in two out of five days, and lots of market misadventure -- Apple(AAPL Quote - Cramer on AAPL - Stock Picks), Lehman(LEH Quote - Cramer on LEH - Stock Picks), oil -- along the way. The Dow ended the week up 0.8%, while the S&P 500 was flat and the Nasdaq was down 0.8%.

Looking forward to next week, it's all about oil and banks. A spate of U.S. investment banks is reporting results, and all eyes will be on the group, especially on Lehman and Goldman Sachs(GS Quote - Cramer on GS - Stock Picks), albeit for different reasons. The latter will be looked at for signs of weakness, and the former will be examined to see if things are worse than already low expectations. At the same time, oil will remain front and center, with most observers convinced that the commodity is the main influence on stocks.

Turning to economic news, the big number comes Tuesday, in the form of the May producer price index. There is a general sense that the Fed is inflation-fixated, to the point that the fed futures market now calculates a 65% likelihood of a rate hike at the next meeting, despite current economic weakness.

As for earnings, we'll have a bevy of companies reporting from the aforementioned brokerage sector. We'll also see results from Adobe(ADBE Quote - Cramer on ADBE - Stock Picks) and FedEx(FDX Quote - Cramer on FDX - Stock Picks).

Finally, here are some articles and papers worth reading:

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RealMoney Barometer Poll
1 What would best describe your stance heading into the coming week of trading?
Bullish
Bearish
Neutral
2 Which of these sectors do you think is set to move up in the coming week?
3 Which of these sectors do you think is set to move down in the coming week?


View the results without voting
At time of publication, Kedrosky had no positions in stocks mentioned, although holdings can change at any time.

Dr. Paul Kedrosky is a former highly ranked sell-side technology equity analyst, and he currently runs a technology finance institute at the University of California, San Diego. He is also a venture partner with Ventures West, an institutional venture capital firm with more than $400 million under management. He maintains a widely read blog called Infectious Greed.

Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. While Kedrosky cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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