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When I read RealMoney, "short term" and "intermediate term" are used a lot. I think short term means holding a stock for a few days (but I'm not sure), and I have no idea what intermediate term means. How are these time frames defined? -- C.B.
Before you step into the investing breach, you have to ask yourself two important questions:
Do I have the time and energy to constantly look for new investment ideas?
Do I have the stomach to look at my portfolio every day and make constant adjustments?
If the answer to both questions is yes, then watching the stock market and parsing ideas every day can be a lot of fun. But if you don't have the necessary time, energy and discipline, consider investing for the long haul.
As an example, RealMoney
managing editor Dave Sterman says, "Ford Motor (F)
is doing all the right things right now -- improving quality, designing very fuel-efficient engines and streamlining costs. But investors need a long time horizon. Shares won't likely rise while the economy is in a funk. But when the economy rebounds, Ford looks poised for a big bounce back -- in my view -- and shares could rise sharply. In the near
term, shares could fall another 10 to 20%, as bad economic news dominates the front pages."
So how are these "time horizons" and "terms" measured? The following is a range of takes on investment time frames from several RealMoney
How to Set a Workable Time Frame (Video)
Dan Fitzpatrick says go long or short, but make sure you set a smart time frame that works for you.
Are you looking at a watch or are you looking at a calendar? That's the most important thing that you have to ask yourself.
If you're a technical
trader -- and a lot of people are -- that's short term stuff... [because] fundamentals
come out once a quarter, [when] we get the quarterly earnings.
You have to know whether you're trading the short term swings in supply and demand of stock versus the longer term time frame, which is more of a fundamental trade.
To watch the full video, click the player below:
This is an exquisite trading
market, not an exquisite investing
market. That helps to explain why I will continue to often change the short term component of my market rating, which provides my outlook over the next one day to 30 days, while leaving the intermediate term component, which provides my outlook for the next six months to 18 months, firmly in negative territory.
For me, short term equals three days to eight days. Intermediate term: three to six weeks. I don't do long term. I would change my mind 500 times between now and then, so why bother?!
I don't really trade and would be viewed as more of a buy and hold investor. I define intermediate term as 12 to 18 months and long term as 18 months to 3 years. I consider a "trade" anything from day trades to a few days or weeks, with the difference between a trade and investment being that I have a specific time horizon and price goal in mind to be achieved in a day, days or weeks when I trade. Meanwhile, my "investments" are more open-ended.