Innovation Update

Technical Outlook: Golden Inflation Hedge

Stock quotes in this article: GGN , CEF , GLD , PBR  

For example, the Central Fund of Canada (CEF Quote), which is required to have a minimum of 90% of its assets in gold and silver bullion would appear on the surface to be a good way to benefit from rising prices. However, if you do a little bit of research you'll see that this fund is trading at a 10.5% premium to its assets. That means investors are paying $105 more than they need to on every $1,000 invested.

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A better option might be streetTRACKs Gold Shares Trust (GLD Quote). This fund is designed for investors who want a cost effective and convenient way to invest in gold. This fund is currently trading at a 0.23% discount to its net as a value compared to the 10.5% premium of the above fund.

Technically, the fund is holding near the $84-$85 support area, and as long as that holds it may be a good place to start initiating new positions.

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Another interesting option is the Gabelli Global Gold Natural Resources & Income Trust (GGN Quote). The fund isn't a pure play on gold because it holds other mixed assets than just gold companies such as its largest holding Petroleo Brasileiro SA (PBR Quote), which accounts for almost 4% of the total holdings. However, it is currently trading at an 8% discount to its net asset value and investors may benefit from both oil and gold holdings.

Technically, Gabelli Global Gold has been in a trading range between $26 and $31, and I think it's only a matter of time before it breaks out above the upper level and starts a new uptrend. By the way, there's one nice kicker while you wait for the move, because the fund is paying a hefty 6.5% dividend.

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Gold and gold funds can certainly be a volatile area of the market to invest in, but if inflation keeps rising and the long-term trend of the dollar continues down, gold and gold shares are likely to be a solid long-term investment for years to come.

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At time of publication, Manning had no positions in stocks mentioned, although holdings can change at any time.

Mark Manning, AAMS, is an Accredited Asset Management Specialist and Registered Investment Advisor with Butler, Wick & Co., where he specializes in wealth management. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Manning appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.

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