This blog post originally appeared on RealMoney Silver on June 4 at 7:32 a.m. EDT.
Warren Buffett's largest legacy investments continue to suffer, even as the shares of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A Quote) have climbed over the past two weeks. Consider the poor short-term and long-term charts of Berkshire's four largest equity investments (number of shares, percentage ownership and year-end dollar value follow ticker):- Coca-Cola (KO Quote) -- 200 million shares, 8.6% of total outstanding shares and $12.3 billion;
- Wells Fargo (WFC Quote) -- 303 million shares, 9.2% of outstanding shares and $9.2 billion;
- Kraft (KFC Quote) -- 124 million shares, 8.1% of outstanding shares and $8.1 billion; and
- American Express (AXP Quote) -- 151 million shares, 13.1% of outstanding shares and $7.9 billion.
Holding these four stocks "forever" has not been value-additive to Berkshire over the last decade; it's been a particular drain over the short term. Indeed, lugging these sizeable investments has resulted in lost opportunities. Moreover, to paraphrase the Master, "Where are the future moats at Coca-Cola, Wells Fargo, Kraft and American Express?"
Warren Buffett, who has achieved a remarkable investment record over 50 years, has begun to morph from the "Shakespeare of investing" into the "Mozart of marketing" -- of course, I am using exaggeration to make my point! -- as the law of large numbers has begun to disadvantage Berkshire. The company's asset and earnings bases are simply too large for the business to make outsized gains in the future.
I shorted more Berkshire Hathaway yesterday.
Doug Kass is the author of The Edge, a blog on RealMoney Silver that features real-time shorting opportunities on the market.
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