Fast Money Recap
'Fast Money' Recap: FedEx Sends a Warning
05/09/08 - 06:33 PM EDT
Macke said that Citi has pulled back substantially. Because the bank is facing a credit crisis, it doesn't really know what its earnings are going to be, he said. Najarain recommended American Express (AXP - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) off the Citi news. He said it's also a great week to look at Visa (V - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and MasterCard (MA - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr). American Express is a Warren Buffett name, he said, and its credit exposure might actually be a boon as the crisis eases.
Circuit Breaker
On news that billionaire investor Carl Icahn may buy Circuit City (CC - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) if Blockbuster (BBI - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) can't. Macke said the Blockbuster merger didn't make sense. He said Circuit City might be better off without merging with Blockbuster. He said Icahn is the winner here, because there are no other bidders for Circuit City, meaning Icahn will either "steal" the company or walk away from a deal. Adami pointed out that Icahn also raised his stake in Motorola (MOT - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) to 7.6%. He said that news isn't that good. Najarian said he doesn't understand Icahn's thinking here. Yahoo! (YHOO - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) traded lower this week. Najarian said he doesn't think the Yahoo! story is over. He said he owns Yahoo! calls. The stock should be lower if no one is interested in buying the company.Oil's Demand Story
The traders talked to CNBC contributor Addison Armstrong about oil. Armstrong said he's starting to see energy headwinds. He said the FedEx news isn't good for oil on the demand side. He said that investors should stay with the upward trend in oil until it breaks down, but it may be time to diversify into other areas. Macke said that in the short term he isn't sure demand is dropping off. Armstrong said that demand erosion will occur over a longer time frame. He said U.S. demand is slackening and predicted a downturn in Chinese demand after the Olympics.Quicker Than the Ticker
Najarian recommended Energy Conversion Devices (ENER - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), which went up 51%. Macke recommended Molson-Coors (TAP - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), shares of which rocketed up 7% the day after his recommendation. Finerman chose NYSE Euronext (NYX - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), which climbed 7% on earnings. Adami selected BorgWarner (BWA - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), which added 16% since his call in early April. Wal-Mart(WMT - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) report earnings next week. Adami predicted strong earnings from H-P. He said the company is an industry leader and has bought back a lot of stock. The stock is a long-term buy, he said. Najarian pointed out that the company that makes H-P's laptop hinges has said orders are up 26%. He said H-P's price-to-earnings ratio makes it cheap. He's looking forward to an impressive number, he said. Macke said H-P has been on a tear, and that competition from Dell (DELL - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and Apple (AAPL - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) hasn't been that formidable. On Wal-Mart, Finerman said she expects profit margins to narrow. Macke said guidance will be key. He said investors will be looking for accelerated spending from consumers on the back of the stimulus package. Najarian said he likes Wal-Mart's direction and its strategy of cashing government rebate checks. The traders then talked with CNBC senior economics reporter Steve Liesman about the state of the credit crisis. He said he thinks the economy is about halfway between chaos and normal. He said equities are holding up well in the face of bad news from AIG, Fannie Mae (FNM - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and Citi. He predicted that Freddie Mac (FRE - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) could raise capital next week. Liesman said for things to become more comfortable in the credit markets, private capital would have to replace assistance from the Federal Reserve.Go Global
Zach Karabell, president of River Twice Research, joined the crew to talk about the markets. He said that earnings, bar the financials, are a lot better this quarter, up 10%. He said, factoring out the bad consumer, the economy looks stronger. He said the trade to make is on a weak dollar and strong global growth. He recommended U.S.-listed companies with a lot of global exposure on dips. He included such names as Caterpillar (CAT - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and Manitowoc (MTW - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr). Adami recommended IBM (IBM - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) as a trade off that theme. The company gets 75% of its revenue from overseas, he said.Trader Radar
Priceline.com (PCLN - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) traded on extraordinary volume this week. Najarian pointed out heavy call activity in AES Corp. (AES - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr). He said the options trading was unusual in that it occurred after the company announced earnings.Fast Fire
Finerman had recommended Kaiser Aluminum (KALU - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), a trade that didn't work out. She said the company's quarter was OK, but management did a poor job of expressing that on the conference call. She said she bought more shares on the dip. Macke suggested WWE (WWE - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), which went down 12% this week. He said he thinks the decline is a buying opportunity. Adami and Najarian both recommended Citigroup, which didn't do so hot. They both said they'd buy it at this level. To honor the upcoming Mother's Day, the traders spoke with 1-800-Flowers (FLWS - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) CEO James McCann. He said fuel prices were hurting the company but it's using new efficiencies to weather the storm.Final Trade
Macke recommended UPS on a dip resulting from earnings. Adami picked Tesoro (TSO - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr). Finerman chose Valero (VLO - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) June $45 calls. Najarian selected H-P.The trading panel wonders why the company would raise its dividend after such a bad report.
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