Media

Cisco Beat Estimates -- Lowered Estimates

05/07/08 - 09:11 AM EDT


Why does it fall beyond all reason to ask that when the business media compares Cisco'sCSCO quarterly numbers, reported after the close Tuesday, to expectations that they give an inkling of when those expectations were last set?

Reading up on the earnings this morning, you can see that a few media outlets served you the savvy investor well. But others were as quiet as a cotton ball about when forecasts were last lowered.

So what would The Business Press Maven tell investors to do?

They Just Don't Get Cisco!

Let yourselves be guided by the first group of articles, and crumple the second. Knowing when earnings are set lets you know the magnitude of the miss/beat, whether management has a clue on operations and the near-term direction of the reporting company's business. Cisco is an essential one too, as it gives an indication on how a host of companies from JDSUJDSU to IntelINTC to IBMIBM to GoogleGOOG might fare.

So you want the standard for reporting on Cisco? The New York Times showcases the issue of when expectations were last set where it belongs: in the headline: Cisco Sales Top Lowered Forecast, and Profit Declines.

After a wry lead that captured the network equipment makers partial victory cry -- "Cisco Systems to Wall Street: It's not so bad" -- the article made sure you did not miss the central issue, noting promptly that "The company, which makes networking equipment, met its own lowered quarterly sales target on Tuesday while beating analysts' earnings forecast by 2 cents a share."

MarketWatch mentioned the revenue report up high too, in the lead, in fact. But it was written as a positive, reporting a "10% jump" in revenue without mentioning anywhere in the article that this "10% jump" only met reduced expectations: "Cisco Systems Inc. on Tuesday reported a 5% drop in third-quarter net income as higher expenses and an acquisition charge hurt profit, but the company posted a 10% jump in revenue."

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At the time of publication, Fuchs had no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this column.

Marek Fuchs was a stockbroker for Shearson Lehman Brothers and a money manager before becoming a journalist who wrote The New York Times' "County Lines" column for six years. He also did back-up beat coverage of The New York Knicks for the paper's Sports section for two seasons and covered other professional and collegiate sports. He has contributed frequently to many of the Times' other sections, including National, Metro, Escapes, Style, Real Estate, Arts & Leisure, Travel, Money & Business, Circuits and the Op-Ed Page. For his "Business Press Maven? column on how business and finance are covered by the media, Fuchs was named best business journalist critic in the nation by the Talking Biz website at The University of North Carolina School of Journalism and Mass Communication. Fuchs is a frequent speaker on the business media, in venues ranging from National Public Radio to the annual conference of the Society of American Business Editors and Writers. Fuchs appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.


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