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Kass: Don't Count on a Second-Half Rebound

04/24/08 - 11:59 AM EDT

Doug Kass


Bunge Jumping

8:22 a.m. EDT

In the past I have written up the dos and don'ts of short selling.

One of the single most important tenets of successful short selling is to avoid shorting based on valuation/price and to avoid stocks with high short ratios.

Case in point: ag/fertilizer/corn company Bunge BG, the short interest of which rose by almost 4 million shares this month.

Bunge reported a large beat and substantially increased guidance.

The shares will gap higher this morning, and those who are short run the risk of moving from hedge fund palaces in Greenwich to small studio apartments on Moshulu Parkway in The Bronx.


Favorite Long and Short

9:52 a.m. EDT

Favorite long: UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares DUG.

Favorite short: ExxonMobil XOM


Agribusiness, Materials and Energy Losing Steam

9:57 a.m. EDT

The major theme this morning is that the market is clearly not getting physical as a conspicuous and broad-based share price decline in ag, fertilizer, materials and energy has surfaced -- even in the face of better-than-expected first-quarter earnings releases this morning.

As both Uncle Vinnie Farrell and I mentioned on "Kudlow & Company" last night, a change in market leadership is typically associated with corrections, not new bull market legs.


Doug Kass is the author of The Edge, a blog on RealMoney Silver that features real-time shorting opportunities on the market.




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At the time of publication, Kass and/or his funds were long the UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares and short Ambac and ExxonMobil, although holdings can change at any time.

Doug Kass is founder and president of Seabreeze Partners Management, Inc., and the general partner and investment manager of Seabreeze Partners Short LP and Seabreeze Partners Short Offshore Fund, Ltd.


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