Mad Money Recap
Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Mad Money's Rally Playbook
04/18/08 - 07:43 PM EDT
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"Making lots of money on a great day is fabulous," Jim Cramer told viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show on Friday, "but rallies are times for action."
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A Strategy for Selling
Cramer's first rule for playing a rally is to "be really tough on your portfolio." He said investors should not get swept up in the market euphoria, but rather scrutinize each and every stock in their portfolios to determine if it has earned the right to stay there at its new higher price. "Assume that everything is guilty until proven innocent," he said. Cramer went on to say that when stocks get more expensive, they inherently get less desirable for investors. "The risk-reward equation gets worse as the price goes up," he said. As a result, it makes sense to trim a portfolio during a rally. To determine which stocks to sell and which ones to keep, Cramer recommended rating each stock on a scale from one to four. One should be for stocks that investors would own at their current price. Two should be for stocks that investors would want to own at a lower price. Three should be for stocks to be sold during a rally, and four should be reserved for stocks that should be sold at any price. Cramer said this scale makes it easier for investors to determine which stocks should be kept and which ones should be sold. During a rally, one's become two's, two's become three's, and so on, as stocks get more expensive. With this disciplined approach, investors should be able to lock in their gains, he said.Raising Cash
The next rules for playing a rally are to "raise cash" and "don't buy." Returning to the common wisdom of "buy low, sell high," Cramer explained that selling into strength is the only way to stockpile cash so investors can buy stocks back at lower prices later.
He said rallies are the perfect time for investors to stop trading on margin if they have margin accounts in their portfolios. He highly recommended using rallies to strengthen portfolios, not weaken them.
Cramer also said investors should refrain from buying stocks the day after a big rally. He said that "rallies make us overly bullish" and that's dangerous. "Just tell yourself that you missed the opportunity and move on," he said.
According to Cramer, the market will invariably retreat after big moves and only then is it a good time to buy.
What to Drop
Cramer mentioned two types of stocks that he says must be sold into a rally. The first are stocks that have already had great runs. These stocks, Cramer said, may have been attractive at lower prices, but become increasingly less attractive at higher prices.From his list of trading rules, Cramer tells viewers to think 'buy and homework,' not 'buy and hold.'
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