TSC Ratings' Upgrades, Downgrades

Each business day, TheStreet.com Ratings updates its ratings on the stocks it covers. The proprietary ratings model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period, including both price appreciation and dividends. Buy, hold or sell ratings designate how the Ratings group expects these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates.

While the ratings model is quantitative, it uses both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and company earnings forecasts. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenue, financial strength and company cash flows.

However, the rating does not incorporate all of the factors that can alter a stock's performance. For example, it doesn't always factor in recent corporate or industry events that could affect the stock price, nor does it include recent technology developments and competitive dynamics that may affect the company.

For those reasons, we believe a rating alone cannot tell the whole story, and that it should be part of an investor's overall research.

The following ratings changes were generated on April 7.

Ingersoll-Rand (IR Quote) is a diversified industrial company that operates in three segments: Climate Control Technologies, Industrial Technologies and Security Technologies. The stock has been upgraded to buy. For the fourth quarter, net income grew to $2.52 million from $221.90 million a year ago, and revenue increased 8.4% to $2.32 billion. Meanwhile, earnings per share fell to 61 cents from 68 cents in the same period.

For 2008, the market expects an improvement in full-year EPS to $3.79 from $2.48 in 2007. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 is very low, implying successful management of debt, and its quick ratio of 1.98 demonstrates an ability to cover short-term liquidity needs. The stock's rise over the past year has outperformed that of the S&P 500. Ingersoll-Rand had been rated hold since Feb. 25.

Merck (MRK Quote), a provider of products for human and animal health, has been downgraded to hold. Revenue growth, good cash flow from operations and expanding profit margins are balanced by a disappointing stock-price performance, deteriorating net income and feeble growth in the company's earnings per share. For the fourth quarter, revenue increased 3.3% year over year to $6.24 billion, while earnings per share swung to a loss of 75 cents from a profit of 22 cents. Net operating cash flow increased 32% to $2.35 billion.

The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32 is low, implying successful management of debt. However, its quick ratio of 0.97 is somewhat weak and could be cause for future problems.

Shares have fallen 11.84% in the past year. Despite the decline, the stock still carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.67, making it more expensive than others in its sector. Merck had been rated buy since April 20, 2007.

First Niagara Financial (FNFG Quote), the holding company for First Niagara Bank, which provides retail and commercial banking products, has been upgraded to buy. For the fourth quarter, net income increased 33% year over year to $27.8 million, despite a revenue decline of 3.5% to $129.4 million. For 2008, the market expects full-year EPS to remain flat at 81 cents.

The company's gross profit margin is rather high at 58%, but has decreased from last year. Despite a 28% increase in cash flow, First Niagara is still growing at a significantly lower rate than the industry average. First Niagara Financial had been rated hold since Jan. 10.

1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS Quote), a gift retailer, has been upgraded to buy. For the second quarter of fiscal 2008, earnings per share improved 12% year over year to 29 cents, while revenue climbed 1.3% to $334.2 million. For 2008, the market expects an improvement in full-year EPS to 34 cents from 27 cents in 2007. Net operating cash flow has increased 36% to $105.4 million from the year-ago quarter. Despite an increase in cash flow, the company's cash flow growth rate is still lower than the industry average.

The stock has outperformed the S&P 500 in the past year, but we feel it still has upside potential despite its impressive rise. 1-800-Flowers.com had been rated hold since Oct. 24.

Constellation Brands (STZ Quote), a maker and marketer of wine, spirits and imported beer, has been downgraded to sell. For the fourth quarter, net income swung to a loss of $831.9 million from a profit of $70.2 million a year ago. For 2008, the market expects an improvement in full-year EPS to $1.68 from a loss of $2.95 in 2007. Earnings per share decreased to a loss of $3.86 from a profit of 29 cents in the same period. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.90 is quite high, and the company maintains a quick ratio of 0.44, which demonstrates an inability to cover short-term cash needs.

Return on equity has greatly decreased year over year. This is a signal of major weakness within the corporation. After fluctuating for a year, share price is largely unchanged from its year-ago levels. Although the stock is selling at a discount to others in its sector, we do not feel now is a good time to buy. Constellation Brands had been rated hold since Jan. 17.

Additional ratings changes from April 7 are listed below.

Ticker	Company Name	Change	New Rating	Former Rating
FLWS	1-800-FLOWERS.COM	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
CDI	CDI CORP	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
CLCT	COLLECTORS UNIVERSE INC	Downgrade	Sell	Hold
CGX	CONSOLIDATED GRAPHICS INC	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
STZ	CONSTELLATION BRANDS	Downgrade	Sell	Hold
STZ.B	CONSTELLATION BRANDS	Downgrade	Sell	Hold
ECGI	ENVOY CAPITAL GROUP INC	Downgrade	Hold	Buy
FNFG	FIRST NIAGARA FINANCIAL GRP	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
FLOW	FLOW INTL CORP	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
INDB	INDEPENDENT BANK CORP/MA	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
IR	INGERSOLL-RAND CO LTD	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
MRK	MERCK & CO	Downgrade	Hold	Buy
MO	ALTRIA GROUP INC	Downgrade	Hold	Buy
AGYS	AGILYSYS INC	Downgrade	Sell	Hold
SONE	S1 CORP	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
SU	SUNCOR ENERGY INC	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
TTC	TORO CO	Downgrade	Hold	Buy
TG	TREDEGAR CORP	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
TWIN	TWIN DISC INC	Downgrade	Hold	Buy
USPH	U S PHYSICAL THERAPY INC	Upgrade	Buy	Hold
VII	VICON INDUSTRIES INC	Downgrade	Hold	Buy
VVUS	VIVUS INC	Upgrade	Hold	Sell
BHBC	BEVERLY HILLS BANCORP INC	Downgrade	Sell	Hold
PRGF	PROGINET CORP	Downgrade	Sell	Hold
CLMS	CALAMOS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC	Downgrade	Hold	Buy
GHDX	GENOMIC HEALTH INC	Downgrade	Sell	Hold
ISLN	ISILON SYSTEMS INC	Initiated	Sell
UPG	UNIVERSAL POWER GROUP INC	Initiated	Sell
AVAV	AEROVIRONMENT INC	Initiated	Hold