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Asia: Rumor-Based Rally in Japan

Asian markets shrugged off Wall Street's slow day overnight and entered a surprise rally Thursday, led by the Nikkei during the afternoon session as rumors abounded.

The Nikkei gained 200 points, or 1.5%, to 13,389.90, and after a strong selloff in the past two weeks, China's Shanghai Composite Index gained momentum as mainland bargain hunters came back to fish for cheap deals among commodity and banking stocks. The index gained 98 points, or 2.9%, to 3446.24. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng jumped 392 points, or 1.6%, to 24,264.63.

"China financials seem to be a major mover of this surge, while the U.S. stock market is still on schedule for a rebound," says Castor Pang, a buy-side strategist for Sun Hung Kai financial in Hong Kong. "Most investors are changing their mind for the short term, and becoming more optimistic about market direction."

Japanese stocks spiked sharply during the afternoon session, lifting Chinese financials and regional markets, amid a consecutive pair of rumors. The first rumor, which began circulating at the end of the morning session in Hong Kong, was that there was a trading error in Singapore-traded Nikkei call futures.

Then toward the open of the afternoon session, talk on proprietary trading desks turned to a foreign hedge fund snapping up $1 billion of Japanese equity, completing the first half of the trade during the morning session on the Singapore International Monetary Exchange.

The yen dropped vs. the dollar, by around half a yen, to 102.80 by the end of Asian trading. Japanese banks continued to post sizeable gains for the second consecutive day, despite wary comments by Bernanke overnight. Mitsubishi UFJ (MTU - Get Report) jumped 3.1%, to 992 yen, and Mizuho Financial (MFG) rose 2%, to 412,000 yen. Kookmin Bank (KB - Get Report) finished 0.5% higher, at 64,500 yen.

Japanese Steel Works ended 5.4% higher, at 1898 yen, and electronics maker TDK (TDK) added 3.4%, to 6370 yen.

On the mainland, Chinese A-shares remained in negative to flat territory until the afternoon rally in Japanese shares. Aluminum Corp. of China (ACH) gained the maximum daily limit of 10%, to 20.78 yuan, and PetroChina (PTR - Get Report) raced ahead 2.3%, to 17.55 yuan.

Bank of China (BACHF) rose 2.2%, to 5.15 yuan, and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China (IDCBF) climbed 2.6%, to 6.36 yuan. Ping An (PIAIF), China's second largest insurer, rose 3.9%, to 59.04 yuan, after it was announced that the company has successfully completed a 50% acquisition of Belgium Investment Bank Fortis for 2.15 billion euros, or $3.35 billion.

In Hong Kong, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical (SHL) rose 3%, to HK$7.47, as a short squeeze helped the stock rally during the afternoon. This week, 7% of free-floating shares have been used by traders to short-sell the stock, leading to many of those traders having to cover their positions by buying back stock.

Other big gainers in the region were Chinese goldminer Zhaojin Mining (ZHAOF) and South Korean steelmaker Posco (PKX - Get Report) as oil and gold prices held up after overnight gains. Zhaojin rose 2.4%, to HK$23.55, and Posco climbed 6.2%, to 508,000 won.

Markets in Hong Kong, China and Taiwan are closed Friday for a holiday.

Other Asian markets fared mixed. South Korea's Kospi rose 1.2%, to 1763.63, and Taiwan's Taiex dipped 0.1%, to 8596.34. India's Bombay Sensitive Index gained 0.5%, to 15,832.55.


Be sure to check out the Far East Portfolio at Stockpickr.com to find out which Indian and Chinese companies are making big moves and announcing major news.

Daniel M. Harrison is a business journalist specialising in European and emerging markets, in particular Asia. He has an MBA from BI, Norway and a blog at www.theglobalperspective.biz. He lives in New York.

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