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Weekend Reading: Long Faces

03/30/08 - 03:37 PM EDT

Paul Kedrosky

Good Sunday, and welcome to another edition of Weekend Reading. First, a look back at the week that just finished, then a look forward to the week ahead, and finally, a summary of articles and papers are worth reading.

It was an unpleasant week on the markets, with two of the three major U.S. indices falling. The Dow and the S&P 500 lost 1.2% and 1.1%, respectively, while the Nasdaq eked out a 0.2% gain (entirely on the back of a big Monday).

Why the long faces? After all, we started the week thinking happy thoughts, with a general sense that we were close to a bottom that could hold. The Fed's recent creative (don't you love that word?) actions, it was thought, would have investors feeling newly comfortable holding equities. There were even some out there thinking that previously toxic mortgage-backed securities were newly less poisonous.

That feeling, however, went away early in the week, with a drip-drip of bad news making people think that things are not done being bad. No one thing was the culprit, but the combination -- from oil to corporate earnings -- wasn't welcome.

Looking forward to next week, things are likely to be fairly rocky. Odds are we'll see weak monthly jobs numbers, reinforcing the belief that we are already in a recession. It's also mea culpa time for major U.S. companies as they prepare to report second-quarter results.

Turning to economic news, the big show next week will be the aforementioned jobs report, which is scheduled for Friday. The Reuters consensus is for a a 58,000 reduction in the U.S. employee count, which would make for a third straight month of cuts. The econo-nihilists out there are touting the idea that we could see a huge air pocket in this number, so my guess is that the jobs number will have to be truly awful to dent the market badly.

Turning to earnings, it will be the calm (sort of) before the storm. There isn't much to watch next week, but Monsanto(MON - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and Best Buy(BBY - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) are both reporting.

Finally, here are some articles and papers worth reading:

Editor's note: Welcome to Stockpickr's "Barron's Roundup." Each weekend, James Altucher presents Stockpickr portfolios related to articles in the latest issue of Barron's.

RealMoney Barometer Poll
1 What would best describe your stance heading into the coming week of trading?
Bullish
Bearish
Neutral
2 Which of these sectors do you think is set to move up in the coming week?
3 Which of these sectors do you think is set to move down in the coming week?


View the results without voting
At time of publication, Kedrosky had no positions in stocks mentioned, although holdings can change at any time.

Dr. Paul Kedrosky is a former highly ranked sell-side technology equity analyst, and he currently runs a technology finance institute at the University of California, San Diego. He is also a venture partner with Ventures West, an institutional venture capital firm with more than $400 million under management. He maintains a widely read blog called Infectious Greed.

Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. While Kedrosky cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.


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