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Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Domestic Steel Is Back

03/26/08 - 07:42 PM EDT

TheStreet.com Staff

Click here for an archive of Cramer's "Mad Money" recaps.


Despite the severe downturn in the economy, steel stocks are one of the best performing groups in the market, Jim Cramer told students Wednesday at his live "Mad Money" TV show at Penn State University's Smeal College of Business.

Cramer credits the surge in steel stocks to 52-week highs to industry consolidation, dramatically lower capacity and decreased steel imports.

In the 1980's, he pointed out, there were 12 large domestic steel companies, two of which were in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Today, there are only three, and none of them are worthy of inclusion in the Dow.

Cramer: Shorting Now Is Suicide

This industry consolidation, Cramer noted, has made the three remaining players much stronger and much more valuable.

Cramer also noted the industry consolidation led to a dramatic decline in production capacity and strong demand for steel as well as higher prices.

Cramer also credited the "renaissance" in steel to a decline in steel imports. Strong internal demand from countries such as China and India, coupled with higher freight costs and a weaker dollar have led to a sizable decline of imported steel in the U.S.

According to Cramer, investors should expect to see more weakness in the steel stocks and take advantage of down days to begin buying.

Student Pitches

Cramer listened to stock ideas from members of Penn State's student-run investment club, the Nittany Lion Fund.

The first student suggested buying Nike NKE, a stock that has been up in this down market. Cramer agreed that Nike is a strong company and liked the idea of sticking with the winners.

A second student liked Excelon EXC as a clean energy play with a great dividend. Cramer questioned the company's nuclear efforts, but said a strong dividend stock is perfect for this environment.

The third student asked about Allergan AGN, makers of Botox. Cramer recounted Allergan's earlier losses and a weakening economy. He called the stock "a tough call" and said he's still on the fence.

The final student picked Raytheon RTN as his favorite defense play. Cramer agreed with this pick and said he owned Raytheon for his charitable trust, Action Alerts PLUS.

A Man of Steel

Cramer returned to his steel thesis to recommend U.S. Steel X, a stock that he's liked since he first recommended it in January, 2006. During that period, U.S. Steel shares have increased 149%, but Cramer says the company is still cheap.

Cramer says U.S. Steel trades at just 11 times expected 2009 earnings while competitors like NuCor NUE trades at 12 times earnings and AK Steel AKS trades at 13 times earnings.

Cramer welcomed John Surma, CEO of U.S. Steel, to the show to discuss the company's outlook. Surma said his company survived the fall of the steel industry by making smart decisions. He said he sees a strong future ahead of the company.

Regarding competition from cheap, imported steel, Surma explained that the playing field has been significantly leveled over the years. His company is now more competitive, with increased productivity and new labor contacts, which give it a strong cost position.

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At the time of publication, Cramer was long McDonald's, Raytheon and Conoco Phillips.

Jim Cramer, host of the CNBC television program "Mad Money," is a Markets Commentator for TheStreet.com, Inc., and CNBC, and a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. All opinions expressed by Mr. Cramer on "Mad Money" are his own and do not reflect the opinions of TheStreet.com or its affiliates, or CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL or their parent company or affiliates. Mr. Cramer's opinions are based upon information he considers to be reliable, but neither TheStreet.com, nor CNBC, nor either of their affiliates and/or subsidiaries warrant its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Mr. Cramer's statements are based on his opinions at the time statements are made, and are subject to change without notice. No part of Mr. Cramer's compensation from CNBC or TheStreet.com is related to the specific opinions expressed by him on "Mad Money."

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Some of the stocks mentioned by Mr. Cramer on "Mad Money" are held in Mr. Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio. When that is the case, appropriate disclosure is made on the program and in the "Mad Money" recap available on TheStreet.com. The Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio contains all of Mr. Cramer's personal investments in publicly-traded equity securities only, and does not include any mutual fund holdings or other institutionally managed assets, private equity investments, or his holdings in TheStreet.com, Inc. Since March 2005, the Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio has been held by a Trust, the realized profits from which have been pledged to charity. Mr. Cramer retains full investment discretion with respect to all securities contained in the Trust. Mr. Cramer is subject to certain trading restrictions, and must hold all securities in the Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio for at least one month, and is not permitted to buy or sell any security he has spoken about on television or on his radio program for five days following the broadcast.


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