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Cramer's 'Mad Money' Recap: Play by the Rules

02/19/08 - 06:57 PM EST

TheStreet.com Staff

Click here for an archive of Cramer's "Mad Money" recaps.


Editor's note: The following is a recap of a "Mad Money" episode that originally aired Dec. 28, 2006.

"If there's one thing I've learned in my years and years of trying to help make people money, it's that you've got to play by the rules," Jim Cramer told viewers of his "Mad Money" TV show.

Almost every time he's broken his own rules, Cramer said, he's lost money. "That's why the rules are there: They keep you disciplined and they keep you from making mistakes," he said.

In his book, Jim Cramer's Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World, Cramer laid out all the rules he played by while running money at his hedge fund.

But in the year he's spent working on his "Mad Money" TV show, he said, he's learned more about stocks than he did during the five years he spent at his hedge fund.

Therefore, he has 20 new rules for people to use in his book, Jim Cramer's Mad Money: Watch TV, Get Rich.

But because Cramer wants his viewers to make money and believes these new rules will help, he said he's going to dedicate his show to explaining five of the 20 rules laid out in the book.

"The new rules aren't just about being an individual investor trying to beat the market," he said. "They're about how an individual investor can understand how the big institutions work."

"There's no such thing as 'the market,' and we shouldn't reify it," Cramer went on to say. "There are just a bunch of funds that control most of the money that goes into stocks, and the guys running the funds mostly think the same way."

Down and Dirty

Rule No. 1 deals with "resisting the business cycle," he said. The business cycle, or the series of highs and lows the economy goes through, is usually controlled by the Federal Reserve. When it raises interest rates, "the cycle gets weaker as the economy gets strangled." And when it cuts rates, the economy gets stronger, Cramer explained.

This means that when the economy's going strong, market players should buy "the dirty, smokestack stocks that make things like machinery, cars and minerals," he said. And when the economy weakens, people should turn away from those cyclical stocks and move into secular growth stocks like health care companies, food, drinks and consumer staples.

With this new rule, Cramer's not telling people to play the cycle, because that's "intuitive." What he's saying is that people shouldn't fight it.

"You can't own cyclical stocks when the economy stinks, and you should stay away from the consumer staples when the economy's stronger," he said. "I don't care how much you like your stock, and I don't care how good it is based on the fundamentals. If it doesn't fit into where we are in the cycle, it could turn you into roadkill."

For example, Cramer said, not long ago, he owned UnitedHealth Group, UNH for his charitable trust, Action Alerts PLUS.

He said he loved this stock as it had a "great" secular growth story, its fundamentals were "beautiful," and he thought it would be "the single biggest beneficiary of the new-at-the-time Medicare drug benefit."

However, after riding UnitedHealth up to $63 by late December 2005, the stock sunk to $44 and change by May. It didn't matter that the company had great growth and earnings because the first half of 2006 was a great time to own cyclical stocks as the "economy was steaming," Cramer said.

Although UnitedHealth had "one of the worst options backdating scandals," most of the stock's decline was because "people were selling it in order to buy the cyclical stocks that kick butt in a strong economy," he said.

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At the time of original publication, Cramer was long UnitedHealth Group.

Jim Cramer, host of the CNBC television program "Mad Money," is a Markets Commentator for TheStreet.com, Inc., and CNBC, and a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. All opinions expressed by Mr. Cramer on "Mad Money" are his own and do not reflect the opinions of TheStreet.com or its affiliates, or CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL or their parent company or affiliates. Mr. Cramer's opinions are based upon information he considers to be reliable, but neither TheStreet.com, nor CNBC, nor either of their affiliates and/or subsidiaries warrant its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Mr. Cramer's statements are based on his opinions at the time statements are made, and are subject to change without notice. No part of Mr. Cramer's compensation from CNBC or TheStreet.com is related to the specific opinions expressed by him on "Mad Money."

None of the information contained in "Mad Money" constitutes a recommendation by Mr. Cramer, TheStreet.com or CNBC that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy mentioned on the program. Mr. Cramer's past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Neither Mr. Cramer, nor TheStreet.com, nor CNBC guarantees any specific outcome or profit, and you should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investments discussed on the program. The strategy or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value and you may get back less than you invested. Before acting on any information contained in the program, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser.

Some of the stocks mentioned by Mr. Cramer on "Mad Money" are held in Mr. Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio. When that is the case, appropriate disclosure is made on the program and in the "Mad Money" recap available on TheStreet.com. The Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio contains all of Mr. Cramer's personal investments in publicly-traded equity securities only, and does not include any mutual fund holdings or other institutionally managed assets, private equity investments, or his holdings in TheStreet.com, Inc. Since March 2005, the Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio has been held by a Trust, the realized profits from which have been pledged to charity. Mr. Cramer retains full investment discretion with respect to all securities contained in the Trust. Mr. Cramer is subject to certain trading restrictions, and must hold all securities in the Action Alerts PLUS Portfolio for at least one month, and is not permitted to buy or sell any security he has spoken about on television or on his radio program for five days following the broadcast.


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