Onyx Halts Lung Cancer Study, Shares Plunge

02/19/08 - 10:19 AM EST

Adam Feuerstein

Investors will be listening attentively to Onyx's conference call Tuesday morning for signs that the Nexavar liver cancer launch is proceeding well. The drug is approved in the United States and Europe, although in the latter, several countries have yet to formalize pricing.

One criticism of the Bayer-Onyx joint venture has been a high level of spending on clinical trials which has tamped down profitability. The failure of the lung cancer trial, however, may prompt a cut in spending, which in turn, could boost the profit margins of Nexavar and Onyx, respectively.

Another wild card for Onyx's valuation is the performance of Nexavar in Asia, especially China, where liver cancer prevalence is extremely high. Asia can be a blockbuster market for Nexavar but a relatively immature or nonexistent infrastructure for medical care reimbursement makes patients difficult to reach.

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Adam Feuerstein writes regularly for TheStreet.com. In keeping with TSC's editorial policy, he doesn't own or short individual stocks, although he owns stock in TheStreet.com. He also doesn't invest in hedge funds or other private investment partnerships. Feuerstein appreciates your feedback; click here to send him an email.
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